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Tigers vs Rays Prediction 7/8/25 MLB Picks Today

Tampa Bay Rays (49-42) vs. Detroit Tigers (58-34)
July 8, 2025 6:40 pm EDT
The Line: Detroit Tigers -126 / Tampa Bay Rays +104; Over/Under: 8.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Tampa Bay Rays and the Detroit Tigers meet Tuesday in MLB action from Comerica Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Tigers vs Rays Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Tampa Bay Rays will send out Ryan Pepiot for the start here, and Pepiot is 6-6 with a 3.34 ERA and 101 strikeouts this season. In his career, Pepiot is 1-1 with a 2.25 ERA and 17 strikeouts against the Tigers. The Detroit Tigers will start Jack Flaherty here, and Flaherty is 5-9 with a 4.84 ERA and 109 strikeouts this season. In his career, Flaherty is 0-2 with an 11.91 ERA and 15 strikeouts against the Rays.

Tampa Bay Rays Recap

The Tampa Bay Rays come into this game looking to rebound from a 5-1 loss at the hands of the Tigers in Monday’s opener to sit at 49-42 on the year. After this series, the Rays will head on the road for a series against the Boston Red Sox.

Rays Drop 7 Of Their Last 10

Jonathan Aranda has 94 hits with 17 doubles, 10 home runs, and 48 RBIs. Brandon Lowe has 86 hits with 19 homers and 50 RBIs as well, while Junior Caminero has 85 hits with 19 doubles, a team-high 21 home runs, and 57 RBIs. Yandy Diaz has 99 hits with 18 doubles, 14 homers, and 52 RBIs, and Kameron Misner has 42 hits with 9 doubles, 5 homers, and 22 RBIs as well, while Christopher Morel has 62 strikeouts while Lowe has 85 strikeouts, and Misner has 69 K’s as well this season. Jose Caballero has 31 stolen bases, while Taylor Walls has 10 stolen bases as well this season.

Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win

  • The Rays have won eight of their last 10 games as underdogs following a loss.
  • The Tigers have lost four of their last five Tuesday night games as home favorites against AL East opponents.
  • The Rays have covered the run line in each of their last 11 road games following a road loss.
  • The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games as favorites against AL East opponents following a win.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

  • Danny Jansen has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances in night games against AL Central teams that held a winning record.
  • Brandon Lowe has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
  • Yandy Diaz has recorded a Double in three of the Rays’ last four games as underdogs against AL Central opponents.
  • Jose Caballero ranks 1st in the league in Steals (31) this season.

Detroit Tigers Recap

The Detroit Tigers come into this game looking to add on to their win over the Rays from Monday’s matchup to sit at 58-34 on the year. After this series, the Tigers will take on the Seattle Mariners at home.

Tigers Win 4 In A Row

Spencer Torkelson has 73 hits along with a .235 batting average, including a team-high 20 home runs, 20 doubles, and 56 RBIs. Kerry Carpenter also has 16 home runs and 32 RBIs, while Riley Greene has 99 hits with 21 doubles, 22 home runs, and 72 RBIs, but also has a team-high 118 strikeouts this season. Dillon Dingler has 8 home runs and 34 RBIs, and Zack McKinstry’s added 12 doubles, 8 triples, 7 home runs, and 27 RBIs of his own along with 78 hits as well this season. Javier Baez has added 72 hits and 13 doubles as well as 10 home runs and 39 RBIs this season.

Why the Detroit Tigers will win

  • The Tigers have won each of their last seven home games against AL East opponents.
  • The Rays have lost each of their last six road games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Rays have failed to cover the run line each of their last seven Tuesday night games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Tigers have covered the run line in six of their last seven home games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts

  • Spencer Torkelson has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances with the Tigers as home favorites against AL East opponents.
  • Parker Meadows has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances in night games against AL teams that held a winning record.
  • Jack Flaherty has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last seven home appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Zach McKinstry has recorded a Double in each of the Tigers’ last three games as home favorites against AL East opponents.
  • Gleyber Torres ranks 8th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.386) this season.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Tigers’ last six night games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Five of the Rays’ last six night games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.

Tigers vs Rays Prediction

I’m on the over here. I just haven’t loved what I’ve seen from Jack Flaherty in a lot of his starts this season, and the Rays have hit righties fairly well as of late. On the other side, the Tigers have done damage themselves, and Pepiot hasn’t been the sharpest arm in the Rays’ rotation. I’ll back the over in this one.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick: Over 8.5

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Chris Ruffolo

Chris joined the Sports Chat Place team in August 2016 and has a proven system that combines multiple analytical and situational statistics and trends to give out thousands of winning picks over the last three years with winning records across all of the top leagues, Follow Chris Ruffolo on Twitter @ruffthepickdawg

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