Tigers vs Rays Prediction 7/9/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Tigers vs Rays prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, July 9th at Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Detroit Tigers Betting Preview

The Detroit Tigers are 59-34 this season after they won the first two games in this series by scores of 5-1 and 4-2. In their game two win, Detroit trailed 2-0 early in the game, but they scored the last four runs in the game for the win. The Tigers recorded just four hits and they committed one error, while they were led by Keith, who went 2-3 with one home run and three RBIs in the win. Detroit started Flaherty, who allowed seven hits and two earned runs over 6.1 innings, while Kahnle picked up the win and Vest got the save. 

Prior to this series, the Tigers swept the Guardians in three games, but did drop two out of three against the Nationals before that. Detroit has won five games in a row and they are currently first in the AL Central standings. The Detroit pitching staff has a 3.42 ERA with a 1.19 WHIP and a .233 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 465 runs with a .253 batting average and a .324 on base percentage this season. Riley Greene has led Detroit with 22 home runs and 72 RBIs, while Spencer Torkelson has added 21 home runs and 57 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Detroit is Reese Olson, who is 4-3 with a 2.89 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP over 53.0 innings pitched this season. 

Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays are 49-43 this year after they lost game two by a score of 4-2 on Tuesday night. Tampa Bay led 2-0 in the third inning, but they went scoreless over the final six innings for the loss. The Rays recorded eight hits in the game and they were led by Aranda and Lowe, who both had one RBI in the loss. Tampa Bay started Pepiot, who allowed three hits and two earned runs over 6.0 innings, while Uceta picked up the loss in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Rays lost two out of three against the Twins and two out of three against the Athletics. Tampa Bay has lost seven of their last nine games and they are currently third in the AL East standings. The Tampa Bay pitching staff has a 3.79 ERA with a 1.20 WHIP and a .237 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 434 runs with a .259 batting average and a .321 on base percentage this season. Junior Caminero has led Tampa Bay with 21 home runs and 57 RBIs, while Brandon Lowe has added 19 home runs and 50 RBIs for the Rays this year. The projected starting pitcher for Tampa Bay is Zack Littell, who is 7-7 with a 3.50 ERA and a 1.07 WHIP over 110.2 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Tigers will beat the Rays

• The Tigers have won each of their last eight home games against AL East opponents.
• The Rays have lost each of their last seven road games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• The Tigers have covered the run line each of their last 10 Wednesday games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Rays have failed to cover the run line each of their last three games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Tigers have led after 5 innings in 11 of their last 13 day games at Comerica Park against AL East opponents.
• The Tigers have led after 3 innings in five of their last six day games against AL East opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Six of the Tigers’ last seven day games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Twelve of the Rays’ last 15 road games against AL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Tigers’ last nine day games against American League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 17 of the Rays’ last 20 day games against AL Central opponents.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts

• Spencer Torkelson has hit a home run in four of his last five appearances with the Tigers as home favorites against AL East opponents.
• Colt Keith has recorded a Double in seven of the Tigers’ last eight Wednesday games.
• Parker Meadows has recorded a hit in each of his last 11 appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

• Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances against the Tigers after playing the previous day.
• Yandy Diaz has hit a home run in three of his last four Wednesday appearances against AL teams that held a winning record.

Tigers vs Rays Prediction 

Detroit comes into this matchup looking for the series sweep and they continue to be the best team in the MLB. The Tigers are 32-14 at home this year, while the Rays are 21-18 on the road. Tampa Bay has had some pitching issues in recent games, as they have allowed at least four runs in five straight games. The Rays are starting Littell, who has allowed one earned run in three straight outings. Detroit is going with Olson, who is making his second start after coming off of the IL, but he has been very strong this year. This Tigers team is rolling right now and the pitching staff is on fire. Take Detroit -1.5 here.