Tigers vs Red Sox Prediction 5/14/25 MLB Picks Today

The Boston Red Sox and the Detroit Tigers meet Tuesday in MLB action from Comerica Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Tigers vs Red Sox Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Boston Red Sox will send out Hunter Dobbins for the start here and 2-1 with a 2.79 ERA and 19 strikeouts this season. This will be Dobbins’ first career start against the Tigers. Tarik Skubal will get the start for the Tigers here and Skubal is 4-2 with a 2.08 ERA and 60 strikeouts this season. In his career, Skubal is 2-2 with a 4.30 ERA and 20 strikeouts against the Red Sox.

Boston Red Sox Recap

The Boston Red Sox come into this game looking to bounce back from a 10-9 loss at the hands of the Tigers in Tuesday’s matchup to fall to 22-22 on the year. After this series, the Red Sox will head home for an interleague series against the Atlanta Braves.

Red Sox Trying To Avoid Sweep

Alex Bregman leads the Red Sox with 51 hits including a team-high 15 doubles along with 9 home runs and 31 RBIs while Rafael Devers has added 45 hits with 12 doubles, 7 home runs and 31 RBIs this season. Trevor Story’s added 39 hits with 6 home runs, 19 RBIs and 8 stolen bases while Jarren Duran has 46 hits with 9 doubles, 4 triples, 2 home runs, 21 RBIs and a team-high 11 stolen bases. Kristian Campbell’s added 34 hits with 8 doubles, 4 homers and 13 RBIs while Wilyer Abreu has 11 home runs with 27 RBIs and 4 stolen bases and Ceddanne Rafaela has 2 homers, 2 triples, 15 RBIs and 7 stolen bases this season.

Why the Boston Red Sox will win

• The underdogs have won three of the Red Sox’s last four games.
• The Tigers have lost five of their last seven games as home favorites after going to extra innings.
• The Red Sox have covered the run line in each of their last six games as underdogs against AL Central opponents.
• The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games as home favorites after going to extra innings.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

• Ceddanne Rafaela has recorded a Double in four of the Red Sox’s last five games as underdogs against AL Central opponents.
• Abraham Toro has recorded at least one RBI in seven of his last eight appearances against the Tigers.
• Abraham Toro has scored at least one run in five of his last six appearances at Comerica Park.
• Rafael Devers has recorded at least one Single in six of the Red Sox’s last seven games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• Abraham Toro has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Triston Casas has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances in night games against AL teams that held a winning record.
• Alex Bregman ranks T6th in the league in Hits (52) this season.

Detroit Tigers Recap

The Detroit Tigers will be out to pick up another W after rallying for the win on Tuesday to improve to 28-15 on the year. After this series, the Tigers will head on the road for a series against the Toronto Blue Jays.

Tigers Win 7 Of Their Last 9

Spencer Torkelson has 36 hits along with a .238 batting average including a team-high 10 home runs, 11 doubles and 33 RBIs. Kerry Carpenter also has 9 home runs and 21 RBIs while Riley Greene has 41 hits with 6 doubles, 9 home runs and 24 RBIs but also has a team-high 48 strikeouts as well this season. Dillon Dingler has 4 home runs and 16 RBIs and Zack McKinstry’s added 6 doubles, 3 triples, a home run and 16 RBIs of his own along with 36 hits as well this season. Javier Baez had added 36 hits and 8 doubles as well this season.

Why the Detroit Tigers will win

• The Tigers have won each of their last 11 games as favorites against AL East opponents.
• The Red Sox have lost seven of their last eight road games after going to extra innings.
• The Tigers have covered the run line in each of their last six games after playing the previous day following an extra innings win.
• The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games against American League opponents after going to extra innings.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts

• Spencer Torkelson has hit a home run in three of the Tigers’ last four games as favorites against AL East opponents.
• Zach McKinstry has recorded a Double in three of the Tigers’ last four games against AL East opponents at Comerica Park.
• Gleyber Torres has recorded at least one RBI in seven of his last eight appearances against the Red Sox.
• Spencer Torkelson has scored at least one run in each of his last seven Wednesday night appearances at Comerica Park.
• Tarik Skubal has recorded eight or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances.
• Tarik Skubal has recorded a win in each of his last four appearances against AL East opponents.
• Parker Meadows has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances in night games.
• Tomas Nido has recorded at least one Single in seven of his last eight appearances.
• Spencer Torkelson ranks T8th in the league in Home Runs (11) this season.

Total Runs Facts

• Eight of the Tigers’ last nine games following an extra innings win have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Four of the Red Sox’s last five night games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.

Tigers vs Red Sox Prediction

I’m on the Tigers in this one. I get the case to be made for the Red Sox as a sizeable underdog, as Dobbins has been pretty solid up to this point in his rookie year. However, the Tigers are just a different animal right now, especially at home, and I just think this could be where Dobbins has his worst start as a major-leaguer. I don’t see him matching zeroes with Skubal, the defending CY Young champ, and I think that Detroit completes the sweep here.