Tigers vs Twins Prediction 8/5/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Tigers vs Twins prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, August 5th at Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Detroit Tigers Betting Preview

The Detroit Tigers are 66-48 this year after they won game one by a score of 6-3 on Monday night. Detroit trailed 2-0 and 3-2, but they scored the last four runs to escape with the victory. The Tigers recorded 12 hits in the game and they were led by Perez and Carpenter, who both had two RBIs in the win. Detroit started Mize, who allowed four hits and three earned runs over 6.0 innings for the win, while Finnegan picked up the save. 

Prior to this series, the Tigers lost two out of three against the Phillies, but did sweep the Diamondbacks in three games before that. Detroit has won six of their last eight games and they are currently first in the AL Central standings. The Detroit pitching staff has a 3.75 ERA with a 1.23 WHIP and a .240 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 549 runs with a .250 batting average and a .318 on base percentage this season. Riley Greene has led Detroit with 26 home runs and 84 RBIs, while Spencer Torkelson has added 23 home runs and 63 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Detroit is Chris Paddack, who is 4-9 with a 4.77 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP over 117.0 innings pitched this year. 

Minnesota Twins Betting Preview

The Minnesota Twins are 52-60 this season after they lost game one by a score of 6-3 on Monday. Minnesota jumped out to a 1-0 lead in the first and they had a 3-2 lead in the sixth, but the bullpen fell apart for the loss. The Twins recorded six hits in the game and they were led by Larnach, Jeffers, and Wallner, who all had one RBI in the loss. Minnesota started Adams, who allowed four hits and two earned runs over 5.0 innings, while Davis allowed three earned runs in relief for the loss. 

Prior to this series, the Twins lost two out of three against the Guardians and two out of three against the Red Sox. Minnesota has lost five of their last six games and they are currently fourth in the AL Central standings. The Minnesota pitching staff has a 4.30 ERA with a 1.28 WHIP and a .254 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 465 runs with a .240 batting average and a .311 on base percentage this season. Byron Buxton (IL) has led Minnesota with 23 home runs and 59 RBIs, while Trevor Larnach has added 14 home runs and 47 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Minnesota is Zebby Matthews, who is 2-3 with a 5.67 ERA and a 1.41 WHIP over 33.1 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Tigers will beat the Twins

• The Tigers have won each of their last six games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• The Twins have lost each of their last five night games against the Tigers following a loss.
• The Tigers have covered the run line each of their last six home games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Twins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six night games at Comerica Park following a road loss.
• The Tigers have led after 5 innings in five of their last six home games against opponents that held a losing record.

Why the Twins will beat the Tigers

• The Tigers have lost six of their last eight games as home favorites against American League opponents.
• The Twins have won four of their last six games as underdogs following a loss.
• The Twins have covered the run line in each of their last six games as underdogs following a loss.
• The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine night games against American League opponents.
• The Tigers have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five night games against opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Twins’ last five games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Four of the Tigers’ last five night games against AL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in nine of the Twins’ last 10 night games at Comerica Park.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in four of the Tigers’ last five games.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts

• Kerry Carpenter has hit a home run in each of his last four home appearances after playing the previous day.
• Spencer Torkelson has recorded at least one hit in each of the Tigers’ last 12 night games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Chris Paddack has recorded five or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Zach McKinstry has recorded a Double in each of the Tigers’ last three games against opponents that held a losing record.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

• Byron Buxton has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances against the Tigers.
• Ryan Jeffers has recorded a hit in each of his last seven appearances.

Tigers vs Twins Prediction 

Detroit was able to get a nice win to open this series on Monday night, as they continue to have a huge lead in the Central. The Tigers are 37-21 at home this year, while the Twins are 22-36 on the road. Minnesota lost a lot of production at the deadline and they are starting Matthews, who has allowed five earned runs in two of his last three starts. Detroit is going with Paddack, who was inconsistent for the Twins before being traded, but pitched very well against Arizona last time out. I think Minnesota could have an advantage in this game facing their old pitcher, so I like the over here.