Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction 9/11/26 MLB Picks Today

The Baltimore Orioles and the Toronto Blue Jays meet Friday in MLB action from Rogers Centre. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Baltimore Orioles will send out Chris Bassitt for the start here and Bassitt is 6-5 with a 4.96 ERA and 61 strikeouts this season. Max Scherzer will start for Toronto and is 2-7 with a 6.03 ERA and 48 strikeouts this season.

Baltimore Orioles Recap

The Baltimore Orioles come into this game looking to add on to their 9-5 win over the Cleveland Guardians last time out to sit at 71-76 this season. After this series, the Orioles will head on the road for a series against the New York Mets.

Orioles Alternate Wins & Losses In 4 Straight

Gunnar Henderson has 126 hits with 25 doubles, 22 home runs and 57 RBIs and Pete Alonso has 147 hits with 24 doubles, 34 home runs and 97 RBIs. Jeremiah Jackson has 54 hits with 10 doubles, 7 home runs and 40 RBIs as well on the year. Samuel Basallo has 76 hits with 10 doubles, 17 home runs and 51 RBIs.

Toronto Blue Jays Recap

The Toronto Blue Jays come into this game looking to bounce back from a 2-0 loss at the hands of the Athletics last time out to sit at 73-74 this season. After this series, Toronto will take on the Detroit Tigers in a series at home.

Blue Jays Drop 3 Of Last 4

Andres Gimenez has 105 hits with 21 doubles, a triple, 9 home runs and 54 RBIs while Ernie Clement has 148 hits with 30 doubles, 9 home runs and 46 RBIs. Kazuma Okamoto has 120 hits with 23 doubles, 30 home runs, 83 RBIs and a team-high 171 strikeouts while George Springer also has 21 doubles, 14 homers and 48 RBIs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has 129 hits with 22 doubles, 8 home runs and 54 RBIs as well. Jesus Sanchez also has 70 hits with 18 doubles, 8 home runs and 35 RBIs.

Baltimore Orioles @ Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends: September 11, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Max Scherzer      Record this season: 2-7      ERA: 6.03
• Home Record: 2-6
• Last 5 against Orioles: 1-2

Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win

• The Blue Jays have won each of their last seven games against AL East opponents following a loss.
• The Orioles have lost seven of their last eight road games against the Blue Jays following a win.
• The Blue Jays have covered the run line each of their last five games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games at Rogers Centre against teams that held a losing record.
• The Orioles have lost the first inning in three of their last four night games.
• The Blue Jays have led after 3 innings in four of their last five games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Orioles have trailed after 5 innings in six of their last seven games at Rogers Centre against opponents that held a losing record.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Chris Bassitt      Record this season: 6-5      ERA: 4.96
• Road Record: 3-3
• Last 5 against Blue Jays: 0-1

Why the Baltimore Orioles will win

• The Orioles have won each of their last six games as underdogs against AL opponents following a home win.
• The Blue Jays have lost four of their last five games as home favorites against AL East opponents.
• The Orioles have covered the run line in each of their last six games as underdogs against AL opponents following a home win.
• The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in 14 of their last 17 games as home favorites against AL opponents.
• The Orioles have led after 3 innings in four of their last five night games against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• The Orioles have led after 5 innings in each of their last six road games against AL opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the last six games between the Orioles and Blue Jays have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Orioles’ last six games as underdogs against the Blue Jays have gone OVER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in seven of the last eight games between the Orioles and Blue Jays.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Orioles’ last five games as road underdogs.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

• Max Scherzer has recorded six or more strikeouts in 25 of his last 27 Friday appearances against teams that held a losing record.
• Alejandro Kirk has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 16 appearances against AL East opponents.
• Brandon Valenzuela has hit a home run in three of the Blue Jays’ last four home games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

• Colton Cowser has hit a home run in three of the Orioles’ last four games against the Blue Jays.
• Chris Bassitt has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his 18 previous appearances at Rogers Centre against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• Pete Alonso has recorded at least one hit in each of the Orioles’ last 10 games as road underdogs.
• Pete Alonso ranks 9th in the league in Home Runs (34) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Blue Jays rank 30th in the league for triples this season (8).
• The Blue Jays rank 29th in the league for runs scored this season (589).
• The Orioles rank 28th in the league for batting average this season (.234).
• The Orioles rank 27th in the league for strikeouts against this season (1361).

Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays Prediction

I’m on the Blue Jays in this one. Toronto’s been really solid off of a loss since the all-star break and bottom line is this is a must-win series for both teams but Toronto’s at home and Scherzer’s been a lot better at home since returning from his injury. I think the Blue Jays get to Bassitt and get the job done here. Give me Toronto.