Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction 9/14/25 MLB Picks Today
Baltimore Orioles (69-79) vs. Toronto Blue Jays (86-62)
September 14, 2025 1:37 pm EDT
The Line: Toronto Blue Jays -194 / Baltimore Orioles +158; Over/Under: 8
(Get latest betting odds)
The Baltimore Orioles and the Toronto Blue Jays meet Sunday in MLB action from Rogers Centre. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Baltimore Orioles will send out Albert Suarez for the start here and Suarez is 2-0 with a 2.08 ERA and 5 strikeouts this season. In his career, Suarez is 0-0 with a 1.80 ERA and 10 strikeouts against Toronto. Shane Bieber will get the start for Toronto and is 2-1 with a 4.30 ERA and 25 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against Baltimore, Bieber is 2-1 with a 4.65 ERA and 42 strikeouts.
Baltimore Orioles Recap
The Baltimore Orioles come into this game looking to rebound from a 5-4 loss at the hands of the Blue Jays in Saturday’s matchup to sit at 69-79 this season. After this series, the Orioles will head on the road for a series against the Chicago White Sox.
Orioles Looking To Avoid Sweep
Adley Rutschman has 70 hits with 16 doubles, 9 homers and 29 RBIs. Jackson Holliday has 135 hits with 20 doubles, 2 triples, 17 homers and 54 RBIs. Gunnar Henderson has 140 hits with 31 doubles, 5 triples, 16 home runs and 61 RBIs with 22 stolen bases and 128 strikeouts while Holliday has a team-high 128 strikeouts as well this season.
Why the Baltimore Orioles will win
- The Blue Jays have lost 10 of their last 12 games as favorites against AL East opponents following a win.
- The Orioles have won seven of their last eight day games following a road loss.
- The Orioles have covered the run line in each of their last nine road games against the Blue Jays following a loss.
- The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in 14 of their last 15 games as favorites against AL East opponents following a win.
Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts
- Ryan Mountcastle has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven appearances in day games against AL teams that held a winning record.
- Jordan Westburg has hit at least one home run in two of his last three road appearances against the Blue Jays.
- Dylan Carlson has recorded a Double in four of his last five appearances against AL East opponents.
Toronto Blue Jays Recap
The Toronto Blue Jays come into this game looking to add on to their win over Baltimore from Saturday to sit at 86-62 on the year. After this series, the Blue Jays will head on the road for a series against the Tampa Bay Rays.
Blue Jays Win Three Straight And 7 Of Their Last 10
George Springer has 127 hits and Bo Bichette has 181 hits with Springer adding 27 home runs, a triple, 21 doubles and 72 RBIs while Bichette has 44 doubles, 18 home runs and 93 RBIs. Andres Gimenez has added 60 hits with 8 doubles and 7 home runs and 27 RBIs this season along with 12 stolen bases. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. also has 23 homers, 33 doubles and 79 RBIs while Springer also has a .301 batting average and 91 strikeouts up to this point in the year. Addison Barger’s chipped in 27 doubles with 19 home runs and 65 RBIs and Ernie Clement’s added 28 doubles as part of his 132 hits this season.
Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win
- The Orioles have lost each of their last six games against AL East opponents.
- The Blue Jays have won eight of their last nine home games against AL East opponents.
- The Blue Jays have covered the run line in seven of their last nine home games against AL East opponents.
Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts
- George Springer has hit a home run in three of the Blue Jays’ last five day games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Shane Bieber has recorded nine or more strikeouts in each of his last six appearances against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
- Shane Bieber has recorded a win in five of his last six home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Bo Bichette has recorded a Double in five of his last six appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
- Bo Bichette has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 21 appearances with the Blue Jays as home favorites against AL opponents.
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.398) this season.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Blue Jays’ last eight games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Seven of the Orioles’ last eight games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays Prediction
I’m on the Blue Jays here. I have liked what I’ve seen from Shane Bieber from the most part in a Blue Jays uniform, and Toronto, more importantly, as a team, keep finding ways to win despite having their backs against the wall late. I’m anticipating a bullpen game for Baltimore here, and while Baltimore’s bullpen has been solid, I think this is another spot where Toronto finds a way to get the job done here. Give me Toronto.

