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Toronto Blue Jays vs Detroit Tigers Prediction 7-21-24 Picks

Detroit Tigers (49-50) vs. Toronto Blue Jays (44-54)
July 21, 2024 1:37 pm EDT
The Line: Toronto Blue Jays -152 / Detroit Tigers +127; Over/Under: +8.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Detroit Tigers and Toronto Blue Jays meet Sunday in MLB game 3 action at Rogers Centre. Here’s a Toronto Blue Jays vs Detroit Tigers Prediction. This article will include a Toronto Blue Jays vs Detroit Tigers Pick.

Detroit Tigers Betting Preview

The Detroit Tigers look to get back to a .500 record before playing the Guardians and Twins. The Detroit Tigers have scored 16 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 6 of their last 7 games. The Detroit Tigers have won 6 straight games when scoring 4 or more runs. Riley Greene leads the Detroit Tigers with 97 hits and 51 RBI, while Matt Vierling and Colt Keith have combined for 155 hits and 78 RBI.

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays are 44-54 on the year and play the Rays and Rangers next. The Toronto Blue Jays have scored 15 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 7 of their last 10 games. The Toronto Blue Jays have won 5 of their last 7 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. leads the Toronto Blue Jays with 111 hits and 59 RBI, while George Springer and Isiah Kiner-Falefa have combined for 150 hits and 70 RBI.

Detroit Tigers vs Toronto Blue Jays Pitching Pick Matchup

Keider Montero gets the ball for the Detroit Tigers, and he is 1-2 with a 5.47 ERA and 23 strikeouts this season. Montero has allowed 16 hits and 7 runs in his last 17.2 innings. Montero has a 2.84 ERA and .250 allowed batting average in 6 road innings. This will be Montero’s first career game against the Toronto Blue Jays.

Kevin Gausman gets the ball for the Toronto Blue Jays, and he is 7-8 with a 4.50 ERA and 104 strikeouts this season. Gausman has allowed 12 hits and 4 runs in his last 13 innings. Gausman has a 7.19 ERA and .318 allowed batting average in 46.1 home innings. Gausman is 3-3 with a 3.22 ERA and 68 strikeouts in his career against the Detroit Tigers.

Why the Detroit Tigers will Beat the Blue Jays

  • The Tigers have won eight of their last nine games as underdogs.
  • The Blue Jays have lost five of their last six games as home favorites.
  • The Tigers have covered the run line in each of their last nine games as underdogs.
  • The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games as favorites.
  • The Tigers have led after 5 innings in each of their last five games against the Blue Jays.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

  • George Springer has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Blue Jays’ last four games as home favorites against AL opponents.
  • Kevin Gausman has recorded a win in each of his last five appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Kevin Gausman has recorded six or more strikeouts in eight of his last nine appearances against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
  • Isiah Kiner-Falefa has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Isiah Kiner-Falefa has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 11 appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has scored at least one run in 10 of the Blue Jays’ last 11 home games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has hit a home run in four of the Blue Jays’ last five games against AL Central opponents.
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded at least one Single in each of the Blue Jays’ last 12 Sunday games.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts

  • Matt Vierling has scored at least one run in each of the Tigers’ last seven games against AL East opponents.
  • Gio Urshela has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 road appearances against AL East opponents.
  • Gio Urshela has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 11 road appearances against AL East opponents.
  • Carson Kelly has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances in day games against AL teams that held a losing record.
  • Gio Urshela has recorded at least one Single in seven of his last eight road appearances against the Blue Jays.
  • Spencer Torkelson has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last six Sunday appearances.
  • Matt Vierling has recorded a Double in four of the Tigers’ last five day games.

Toronto Blue Jays vs Detroit Tigers Prediction

This line is strange. Yes, the Toronto Blue Jays are at home and Keider Montero hasn’t been good in a limited role with an ERA of 5.47. However, let’s not act like Kevin Gausman is lighting the world on fire, and he’s been absolutely rocked at home this season. Also, the Tigers have been the better team this season than the Blue Jays, and they have a chance to get to a .500 record with a chance to make things interesting down the stretch. We’re getting decent plus money in this spot. You can do worse than betting on the Tigers on Sunday. 

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Detroit Tigers +127

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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