Miami Marlins (58-100) vs. Toronto Blue Jays (73-85)
September 27, 2024 7:07 pm EDT
The Line: Toronto Blue Jays -175 / Miami Marlins +148; Over/Under: +8.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Miami Marlins and Toronto Blue Jays meet Friday in MLB game 1 action at Rogers Centre. Here’s a Toronto Blue Jays vs Miami Marlins Prediction. This article will include a Toronto Blue Jays vs Miami Marlins Pick.
Miami Marlins Betting Preview
The Miami Marlins are 59-100 on the year after playing the Braves and Twins. The Miami Marlins have scored 15 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 7 of their last 9 games. The Miami Marlins have won 4 of their last 7 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Jake Burger leads the Miami Marlins with 127 hits and 72 RBI, while Jesus Sanchez and Otto Lopez have combined for 220 hits and 100 RBI.
Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview
The Toronto Blue Jays are 74-85 on the year after playing the Rays and Red Sox. The Toronto Blue Jays have scored 12 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 6 of their last 12 games. The Toronto Blue Jays have won 5 of their last 7 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. leads the Toronto Blue Jays with 197 hits and 102 RBI, while George Springer and Ernie Clement have combined for 230 hits and 106 RBI.
Miami Marlins vs Toronto Blue Jays Pitching Pick Matchup
Adam Oller gets the ball for the Miami Marlins, and he is 1-4 with a 5.06 ERA and 33 strikeouts this season. Oller has allowed 26 hits and 15 runs in his last 21 innings. Oller has a 5.06 ERA and a .254 allowed batting average in 16 road innings. This will be Oller’s second career game against the Toronto Blue Jays.
Jose Berrios gets the ball for the Toronto Blue Jays, and he is 16-10 with a 3.38 ERA and 149 strikeouts this season. Berrios has allowed 13 hits and 3 runs in his last 19 innings. Berrios has a 2.69 ERA and a .210 allowed batting average in 90.1 home innings. Berrios is 1-1 with a 4.09 ERA and 15 strikeouts in his career against the Miami Marlins.
Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win
- The Marlins have lost each of their last 11 night games following a win.
- The Blue Jays have won seven of their last eight home games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine night games following a road win.
- The Blue Jays have covered the run line in four of their last five games against the Marlins.
- The Marlins have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last eight road games against opponents that held a losing record.
- The Marlins have lost the first inning in each of their last four night games against opponents that held a losing record.
- The Marlins have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four night games against opponents that held a losing record.
Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded a Double in four of his last five appearances after not playing the previous day.
- Alejandro Kirk has recorded at least one RBI in nine of his last 10 appearances with the Blue Jays as home favorites.
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has scored at least one run in each of his last eight home appearances after not playing the previous day.
- Jose Berrios has recorded six or more strikeouts in 10 of his last 13 home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Ernie Clement has recorded at least one Single in 11 of the Blue Jays’ last 12 night games.
- Ernie Clement has hit a home run in each of his last four appearances in night games against NL teams that held a losing record.
- Daulton Varsho has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Daulton Varsho has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Jose Berrios has recorded a win in seven of his last eight home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.325) this season.
Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
- Jonah Bride has recorded a Double in three of the Marlins’ last four games against AL opponents.
- Jonah Bride has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Marlins’ last five games as road underdogs.
- Jake Burger has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Marlins’ last five games against AL opponents.
- Jake Burger has scored a run in each of the Marlins’ last three games against AL East opponents.
- Otto Lopez has recorded a single in each of the Marlins’ last six night games.
- Jonah Bride has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances with his team as a road underdog against AL opponents.
- Jake Burger has hit a home run in each of the Marlins’ last three road games against AL East opponents.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Toronto Blue Jays rank 29th in the league for home runs allowed this season (204).
- The Toronto Blue Jays rank 27th in the league for steals this season (71).
- The Miami Marlins rank 29th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.298).
- The Miami Marlins rank 29th in the league for walks this season (387).
Toronto Blue Jays vs Miami Marlins Prediction
While neither the Blue Jays nor the Marlins have anything to play for, Toronto had yesterday off while the Marlins played 13 innings yesterday. Adam Oller hasn’t shown much in his limited frames and has been hit hard on the road. Jose Berrios has been great over his last handful of starts, and that includes allowing 3 runs in his last 19 innings. I’ll side with the rested Blue Jays at home and with an All-Star caliber arm on the hill. Of course, I lay the RL as well to shave down the price.
