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Toronto Blue Jays vs Miami Marlins Prediction 9-29-24 MLB Picks

Miami Marlins (61-100) vs. Toronto Blue Jays (74-87)
September 29, 2024 3:07 pm EDT
The Line: Toronto Blue Jays / Miami Marlins ; Over/Under: -
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate a Toronto Blue Jays vs Miami Marlins prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, September 29th at the Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game three in the series.

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays are 74-87 this year and they have lost two games in a row. Toronto has lost the first two games in this series and they have allowed 23 runs in the two games. Prior to this series, the Blue Jays lost two out of three against the Red Sox, lost all three against the Rays, and lost two out of three against the Rangers. Toronto is just 1-7 in their last eight games and they are last in the AL East. 

The Toronto pitching staff has a 4.30 ERA, a 1.28 WHIP, and a .243 opponent batting average. The Blue Jays offense has scored 670 runs with a .242 batting average and a .314 on base percentage. Vladimir Guerrero is batting .324 with 30 home runs and 103 RBI’s for the Blue Jays this season. 

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Miami Marlins are 61-100 this season and they have won three games in a row. Miami has won the first two games in this series by scores of 15-5 and 8-1. Prior to this series, the Marlins won two out of three against the Twins, lost two out of three against the Braves, and lost two out of three against the Dodgers. Miami is 5-3 in their last eight games and they are last in the NL East. 

The Miami pitching staff has a 4.75 ERA, a 1.39 WHIP, and a .258 opponent batting average. The Marlins offense has scored 634 runs with a .244 batting average and a .300 on base percentage. Jake Burger is batting .250 with 29 home runs and 76 RBI’s for the Marlins this season. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is TBD. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Ryan Weathers, who is 4-6 with a 3.81 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP over 80.1 innings pitched this year. Weathers has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last five starts. 

Why the Marlins will beat the Blue Jays

  • The Blue Jays have lost seven of their last eight games.
  • The road team has won each of the last four games between the Marlins and Blue Jays.
  • The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last eight day games against AL East opponents.
  • The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven day games following a home loss.
  • The Marlins have led after 3 innings in each of their last seven games against American League opponents.
  • The Marlins have led after 5 innings in each of their last five road games against AL East opponents.
  • The Marlins have won the first inning in each of their last four games against American League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Marlins’ last 12 games against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Eight of the Blue Jays’ last 10 games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Marlins’ last five games against AL East opponents.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last five Sunday games against National League opponents.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

  • Bo Bichette has recorded at least one RBI in three of his four previous home appearances against the Marlins.
  • Ernie Clement has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances at Rogers Centre against NL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Daulton Varsho has scored at least one run in six of his last seven home appearances.
  • George Springer has recorded at least one Single in each of the Blue Jays’ last five games against the Marlins.
  • George Springer has recorded at least one hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last 10 games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
  • George Springer has recorded at least one total base in each of the Blue Jays’ last 10 games against NL opponents that held a losing record.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

  • Jake Burger has hit a home run in three of the Marlins’ last five road games against AL East opponents.
  • Jonah Bride has recorded at least one RBI in five of the Marlins’ last six games against AL opponents.
  • Jake Burger has recorded a Double in three of the Marlins’ last four games against AL opponents.
  • Otto Lopez has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six road appearances.
  • Jake Burger has scored a run in each of the Marlins’ last five games against AL East opponents.
  • Jonah Bride has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 road appearances against AL opponents.
  • Jonah Bride has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 11 road appearances against AL opponents.

Toronto Blue Jays vs Miami Marlins Prediction 

Miami comes into this game sitting at 100 losses for the season, but they have played well over the last 10 days and will look to end their season with a sweep of the Blue Jays. The Marlins are 31-49 on the road this year, while the Blue Jays are 39-41 at home. Toronto has finished the season playing very poorly and with us not knowing what pitcher they are going to start, I am going to side with Miami. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Marlins ML

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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