Toronto Blue Jays vs NY Mets Prediction 9-11-24 MLB Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Toronto Blue Jays vs NY Mets prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, September 11th at the Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game three in the series.

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays are 69-77 this season and they have split their last four games. Toronto won game two in this series by a score of 6-2 on Tuesday night. Prior to this series, the Blue Jays lost two out of three against the Braves, lost both games against the Phillies, and lost two out of three against the Twins. Toronto is 2-6 in their last 8 games and they are last in the AL East. 

The Toronto pitching staff has a 4.31 ERA, a 1.27 WHIP, and a .244 opponent batting average. The Blue Jays’ offense has scored 619 runs with a .242 batting average and a .314 on-base percentage. Vladimir Guerrero is batting .321 with 28 home runs and 94 RBI’s for the Blue Jays this season. 

NY Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 79-66 this year and they have lost two of their last three games. New York won game one in this series by a score of 3-2 on Monday night. Prior to this series, the Mets won two out of three against the Reds, swept the Red Sox, and swept the White Sox. New York is 10-2 in their last 12 games and they are tied for second in the NL East. 

The New York pitching staff has a 3.98 ERA, a 1.27 WHIP, and a .232 opponent batting average. The Mets’ offense has scored 686 runs with a .247 batting average and a .319 on-base percentage. Pete Alonso is batting .239 with 31 home runs and 79 RBI’s for the Mets this season.

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Bowden Francis, who is 8-4 with a 3.72 ERA and a 0.99 WHIP over 84.2 innings pitched this year. Francis has allowed one earned run or fewer in four of his last five starts. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Sean Manaea, who is 11-5 with a 3.43 ERA and a 1.10 WHIP over 157.1 innings pitched this year. Manaea has allowed at least three earned runs in four of his last five starts. 

Why the Mets will beat the Blue Jays

• The Mets have won each of their last eight games following a loss.
• The Blue Jays have lost nine of their last 10 games against National League opponents following a win.
• The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven games as home underdogs following a home win.
• The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last three games following a road loss.
• The Mets have led after 5 innings in each of their last seven Wednesday day games against opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Mets’ last eight-day games after playing the previous day has gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Seven of the Blue Jays’ last eight-day games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mets’ last eight-day games against American League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last three-day games between the Mets and Blue Jays.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has hit a home run in six of the Blue Jays’ last 15 home games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded a Double in five of his last six appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.
• Alejandro Kirk has recorded at least one RBI in seven of his last eight home appearances.
• Daulton Varsho has scored at least one run in five of his last six home appearances.
• Alejandro Kirk has recorded two or more total bases in seven of his last eight appearances at Rogers Centre.
• Alejandro Kirk has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances against NL East opponents.
• Bo Bichette has recorded at least one Single in each of his 12 previous Wednesday appearances against NL teams that held a winning record.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Pete Alonso has hit a home run in three of the Mets’ last four Wednesday games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
• J.D. Martinez has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five appearances against AL East opponents.
• Sean Manaea has recorded a win in three of his last four road appearances.
• Sean Manaea has recorded six or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances in day games.
• Francisco Lindor has scored at least one run in nine of the Mets’ last 10 games against AL opponents.
• Jose Iglesias has recorded at least one Single in eight of his last nine appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Jose Iglesias has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 20 appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Jose Iglesias has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 20 appearances against opponents that held a losing record.

Toronto Blue Jays vs NY Mets Prediction 

New York dropped game two in this series and they have lost two of their last three games, but they are still one of the best teams in the MLB over the last few months. The Mets are 39-32 on the road, while the Blue Jays are just 35-36 at home this year. Toronto hasn’t had much to celebrate this year, but Bowden Francis has been a bright spot over the last month.

On the other side, the Mets are going with Sean Manaea, who hasn’t pitched his best recently. I really like how Francis has pitched in recent outings, but I am not going against the hottest team in baseball. Take the Mets here.