Blue Jays vs Mariners Prediction 10/12/25 MLB Picks Today
Seattle Mariners (90-72) vs. Toronto Blue Jays (94-68)
October 12, 2025 8:03 pm EDT
The Line: Toronto Blue Jays -176 / Seattle Mariners +144; Over/Under: 8
(Get latest betting odds)
The Seattle Mariners and the Toronto Blue Jays meet Sunday in MLB action from Rogers Centre. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Blue Jays vs Mariners Prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Seattle Mariners will send out Bryce Miller for the start here and Miller was 4-6 with a 5.68 ERA and 74 strikeouts in the regular season. Kevin Gausman will start here for Toronto and was 10-11 with a 3.59 ERA and 189 strikeouts in the regular season.
Seattle Mariners Recap
The Seattle Mariners come into this series after a 3-2 win over the Detroit Tigers in 15 innings in Friday’s winner take all game five.
Mariners Looking For First WS Appearance In Franchise History
Jorge Polanco has 125 hits including 30 doubles, 26 home runs and 78 RBIs while Cal Raleigh has 147 hits with 24 doubles, a team-high 60 home runs and 125 RBIs. Randy Arozarena has 146 hits with 32 doubles, 27 home runs, 76 RBIs and 31 stolen bases. Julio Rodriguez also has 174 hits with 31 doubles, 4 triples, 32 home runs, 95 RBIs and 30 stolen bases. J.P Crawford has 151 hits with 24 doubles, 12 home runs and 58 RBIs.
Why the Seattle Mariners will win
- The Blue Jays have lost eight of their last nine games as favorites against the Mariners following a road win.
- The Mariners have won each of their last seven games after going to extra innings.
- The Mariners have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games at Rogers Centre against teams that held a winning record.
- The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games as favorites against the Mariners following a road win.
Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts
- Julio Rodriguez has recorded a Double in four of the Mariners’ last five playoff games as underdogs.
- Cal Raleigh has hit at least one home run in five of his last six appearances against the Blue Jays after not playing the previous day.
- Bryce Miller has recorded three or more strikeouts in each of his last seven appearances with the Mariners as road underdogs.
- J.P. Crawford has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mariners’ last 10 games as underdogs against AL opponents.
- Cal Raleigh ranks 1st in the league in Home Runs (60) this season.
Toronto Blue Jays Recap
The Toronto Blue Jays come into the ALCS after knocking the New York Yankees off in four games thanks to a 5-2 win in the series clincher.
Blue Jays Aiming For First WS Appearance Since 1993
George Springer has 154 hits and Bo Bichette has 181 hits with Springer adding 32 home runs, a triple, 27 doubles and 84 RBIs while Bichette has 44 doubles, 18 home runs and 94 RBIs. Andres Gimenez has added 69 hits with 11 doubles and 7 home runs and 35 RBIs this season along with 12 stolen bases. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. also has 23 homers, 34 doubles and 84 RBIs while Springer also has a .309 batting average and 111 strikeouts up to this point in the year. Addison Barger’s chipped in 32 doubles with 21 home runs and 74 RBIs and Ernie Clement’s added 35 doubles as part of his 151 hits this season.
Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win
- The Blue Jays have won each of their last six home games.
- The Mariners have lost eight of their last nine road games against AL East opponents.
- The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine road games against AL East opponents.
- The Blue Jays have covered the run line in each of their last six home games.
Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts
- Alejandro Kirk has hit at least one home run in each of the Blue Jays’ last three games as favorites.
- Kevin Gausman has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Kevin Gausman has recorded seven or more strikeouts in nine of his last 10 home appearances against AL West opponents.
- Bo Bichette has recorded a Double in each of his last five appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
- Bo Bichette has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 21 appearances with the Blue Jays as home favorites against AL opponents.
- George Springer ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.399) this season.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the last eight games between the Mariners and Blue Jays have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Mariners’ last four road games have gone OVER the total runs line.
Blue Jays vs Mariners Prediction
I’m on the Blue Jays in game one. The extra innings game for Seattle completely threw off the plan as it was supposed to be Luis Castillo here, but three starters were used. It’s the perils of having all hands on deck, but it was necessary for Seattle in that game. The problem is Miller got roughed up by the Blue Jays already this season and Toronto’s full of confidence after that series win against the Yankees.
Kevin Gausman’s been solid in the postseason, and this is why the Blue Jays battled so hard for that AL East title and home field because they’ve been a much stronger team at home this season. I like Toronto to draw first blood here, so give me the Blue Jays.

