Toronto Blue Jays vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction 8/1/26 MLB Picks Today

The St. Louis Cardinals and the Toronto Blue Jays meet Saturday in MLB action from Rogers Centre. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jays prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The St. Louis Cardinals will send out Quinn Mathews for the start here and Mathews is making his major league debut in this game. Kevin Gausman will start for Toronto and is 4-10 with a 4.51 ERA and 123 strikeouts this season.

St. Louis Cardinals Recap

The St. Louis Cardinals come into this game looking to rebound from their 3-1 loss at the hands of the Blue Jays on Friday to sit at 54-56 this season. After this series, the Cardinals will head on the road for a series against the New York Yankees.

Cards Lose 8 Of Last 10

Going into Friday, Jordan Walker has 116 hits, 23 doubles, 22 home runs and 78 RBIs while Alec Burleson has 118 hits with 26 doubles, 15 home runs and 71 RBIs. JJ Wetherholt has 103 hits with 16 home runs and 41 RBIs while Ivan Herrera has 99 hits with 17 doubles, 12 home runs and 46 RBIs. Nolan Gorman has 39 hits with 7 home runs and 26 RBIs this season. Masyn Winn’s added 88 hits with 13 doubles and 44 RBIs and Nathan Church has 60 hits with 8 home runs and 31 RBIs this season.

Toronto Blue Jays Recap

The Toronto Blue Jays come into this game looking to add on to their win over St. Louis from Friday to improve to 51-59 on the year. After this series, the Blue Jays will head on the road for a series against the Houston Astros.

Blue Jays Win Back-To-Back Games

Entering Friday, Andres Gimenez has 73 hits with 16 doubles, a triple, 7 home runs and 41 RBIs while Ernie Clement has 121 hits with 27 doubles, 8 home runs and 35 RBIs. Kazuma Okamoto has 89 hits with 14 doubles, 24 home runs, 68 RBIs and a team-high 133 strikeouts while George Springer also has 13 doubles, 12 homers and 34 RBIs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has 101 hits with 17 doubles, 6 home runs and 44 RBIs as well. Jesus Sanchez also has 59 hits with 14 doubles, 7 home runs and 29 RBIs.

St. Louis Cardinals @ Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends: August 1, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Kevin Gausman      Record this season: 4-10      ERA: 4.51
• Home Record: 2-5
• Last 5 against Cardinals: 1-3

Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win

• The Blue Jays have won each of their last seven games against the Cardinals.
• The Cardinals have lost 12 of their last 13 day games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Cardinals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games.
• The Blue Jays have covered the run line in each of their last four games against the Cardinals.
• The Blue Jays have led after 5 innings in four of their last five games against the Cardinals.
• The Blue Jays have won the first inning in each of their last three day games against opponents that held a losing record.
• The Blue Jays have led after 3 innings in three of their last four home games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Quinn Mathews      Record this season: –      ERA: –
• Road Record: –
• Last 5 against Blue Jays: –

Why the St. Louis Cardinals will win

• The Blue Jays have lost each of their last six home games following a home win.
• The underdogs have won four of the Blue Jays’ last five games at Rogers Centre.
• The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six home games following a home win.
• The Cardinals have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games as underdogs following a road loss.
• The Blue Jays have lost the first inning in three of their last four day games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• The Cardinals have led after 3 innings in four of their last five day games.
• The Blue Jays have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four games against NL Central opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Blue Jays’ last six day games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Cardinals’ last four road games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Cardinals’ last six Saturday day games against American League opponents.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in five of the Blue Jays’ last six games.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

• George Springer has hit at least one home run in four of the Blue Jays’ last six games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• Kevin Gausman has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his four previous appearances in day games against NL Central teams that held a losing record.
• George Springer has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances in day games.
• Ernie Clement ranks 8th in the league in Hits (121) this season.

St. Louis Cardinals Player Prop Facts

• JJ Wetherholt has hit at least one home run in five of his last six appearances in day games against AL teams that held a losing record.
• Jordan Walker has recorded at least one hit in each of his six previous appearances against the Blue Jays.
• Alec Burleson ranks T9th in the league in Hits (118) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Blue Jays rank 30th in the league for triples this season (5).
• The Blue Jays rank T29th in the league for runs scored this season (433).
• The Cardinals rank 29th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.377).
• The Cardinals rank 2nd in the league for home runs allowed this season (107).

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jays Prediction

I’m on the under in this game. This game doesn’t feature as strong of a pitching matchup as Friday, but Mathews is a lefty making his debut against a Jays lineup that hasn’t been all that effective against left-handed pitching as of late while Gausman has been better at home this season and is against a Cardinals lineup that’s fallen off the map offensively in recent outings. All in all, I think this is another low-scoring game, so give me the under here.