Toronto Blue Jays vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction 5/12/26 MLB Picks Today

The Tampa Bay Rays and the Toronto Blue Jays meet Tuesday in MLB action from Rogers Centre. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Tampa Bay Rays will send out Shane McClanahan for the start here and McClanahan is 4-2 with a 2.60 ERA and 34 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against Toronto, McClanahan is 4-1 with a 1.88 ERA and 24 strikeouts. Patrick Corbin will start here for Toronto and is 1-1 with a 3.60 ERA and 21 strikeouts this season. In his career, Corbin is 0-3 with a 6.04 ERA and 12 strikeouts against the Rays.

Tampa Bay Rays Recap

The Tampa Bay Rays come into this game looking to add on to their 8-5 win over the Blue Jays last time out to sit at 27-13 this season. After this series, the Rays will head home for a series against the Marlins.

Rays Win 9 Of Last 10

Going into Monday, Yandy Diaz has 44 hits with 4 doubles, a triple, 5 home runs and 23 RBIs while Chandler Simpson has 46 hits with 3 triples and 11 RBIs. Nick Fortes has 28 hits with 5 doubles, a home run and 8 RBIs and Jonathan Aranda has 37 hits with 5 doubles, 7 homers and 29 RBIs. Junior Caminero’s also added 37 hits with 3 doubles, 11 home runs and 19 RBIs and Ben WIlliamson has 28 hits with 5 doubles and 13 RBIs.

Toronto Blue Jays Recap

The Toronto Blue Jays come into this game looking to bounce back from a loss to Tampa Bay on Monday in the opener to fall to 18-23 this season. fter this series, the Blue Jays will head on the road for a series against the Detroit Tigers.

Blue Jays Drop 6 Of Last 8

Entering Monday’s opener, Andres Gimenez has 32 hits with 6 doubles, a triple, 3 home runs and 18 RBIs while Ernie Clement has 47 hits with 13 doubles and 12 RBIs. Kazuma Okamoto has 36 hits with 4 doubles, 10 home runs, 26 RBIs and a team-high 46 strikeouts while George Springer also has 5 doubles, 2 homers with 7 RBIs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has 45 hits with 7 doubles, 2 home runs and 17 RBIs as well. Jesus Sanchez also has 29 hits with 4 doubles, 5 home runs and 17 RBIs.

Tampa Bay Rays @ Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends: May 12, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Patrick Corbin      Record this season: 1-1      ERA: 3.60
• Home Record: 0-0
• Last 5 against Rays: 0-3

Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win

• The Blue Jays have won nine of their last 10 games as home underdogs against AL East opponents.
• The Rays have lost each of their last four games as road favorites against AL East opponents.
• The Blue Jays have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 games as home underdogs against AL East opponents.
• The Rays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven Tuesday games against AL East opponents.
• The Blue Jays have led after 5 innings in six of their last seven games as home underdogs against AL East opponents.
• The Rays have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last five Tuesday games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Shane McClanahan      Record this season: 4-2      ERA: 2.60
• Road Record: 1-2
• Last 5 against Blue Jays: 4-1

Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win

• The Rays have won each of their last 11 games as favorites against American League opponents.
• The Blue Jays have lost each of their last seven games against the Rays following a loss.
• The Rays have covered the run line in 10 of their last 11 games as favorites against American League opponents.
• The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six night games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Rays have led after 3 innings in each of their last eight Tuesday games against the Blue Jays at Rogers Centre.
• The Blue Jays have lost the first inning in four of their last five night games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Rays have led after 5 innings in each of their last 11 Tuesday games against the Blue Jays at Rogers Centre.

Total Runs Facts

• Six of the Rays’ last seven games as favorites have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Three of the Blue Jays’ last four games as underdogs against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last eight night games between the Rays and Blue Jays.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of Shane McClanahan’s last six road appearances as a starter.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

• Patrick Corbin has recorded four or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances with his team as a home underdog against AL opponents.
• Alejandro Kirk has hit at least one home run in three of his last four home appearances against AL East opponents.
• Andres Gimenez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven home appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Ernie Clement ranks T10th in the league in Hits (47) this season.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

• Shane McClanahan has recorded a win in each of his six previous appearances against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
• Shane McClanahan has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last four road appearances against the Blue Jays.
• Chandler Simpson has recorded at least one hit in each of his 13 previous appearances against the Blue Jays after playing the previous day.
• Jake Fraley has hit a home run in four of his last 18 road appearances against AL opponents.
• Chandler Simpson ranks T3rd in the league in Hits (49) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Blue Jays rank 1st in the league for strikeouts against this season (279).
• The Blue Jays rank T29th in the league for triples this season (1).
• The Rays rank 29th in the league for doubles this season (47).
• The Rays rank 2nd in the league for strikeouts against this season (281).

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays Prediction

I’m on the under in this game. I just think this is going to end up going back to what we’ve seen from the Rays for much of the season where I think runs will be scarce. McClanahan’s owned the Jays over the years, and Corbin’s been much better than I thought he would be since joining this Toronto rotation. I’ll rock with the under in this one.