Blue Jays vs Rays Prediction 9/28/25 MLB Picks Today

The Tampa Bay Rays and the Toronto Blue Jays meet Sunday in MLB action from Rogers Centre. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Blue Jays vs Rays Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Tampa Bay Rays will send out Ian Seymour for the start here and Seymour is 4-2 with a 2.85 ERA and 57 strikeouts this season. This will be Seymour’s second career start against the Blue Jays. Kevin Gausman will get the start for the Blue Jays here and is 10-11 with a 3.47 ERA and 184 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against Tampa Bay, Gausman is 0-2 with a 4.97 ERA and 31 strikeouts.

Tampa Bay Rays Recap

The Tampa Bay Rays come into this game looking to bounce back from their 5-1 loss at the hands of the Blue Jays on Saturday to drop to 77-84 this season.

Rays Trying To Play Spoiler

Jonathan Aranda has 115 hits with 22 doubles, 14 home runs and 56 RBIs. Brandon Lowe has 130 hits with 31 homers and 83 RBIs as well while Junior Caminero has 158 hits with 28 doubles, a team-high 45 home runs and 110 RBIs. Yandy Diaz has 175 hits with 29 doubles, 25 homers and 83 RBIs.

Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win

• The underdogs have won eight of the Rays’ last 11 games.
• The Blue Jays have lost 26 of their last 36 games as favorites against the Rays following a win.
• The Rays have covered the run line in 20 of their last 24 games as road underdogs against AL East opponents following a road loss.
• The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in 17 of their last 21 games as favorites against AL East opponents following a win.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

• Brandon Lowe has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances after playing the previous day.
• Taylor Walls has recorded a Double in each of his last three appearances against AL East opponents.
• Taylor Walls has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Chandler Simpson ranks 2nd in the league in Steals (44) this season.

Toronto Blue Jays Recap

The Toronto Blue Jays come into this game looking to add on to Saturday’s win over Tampa Bay to improve to 93-78 this season.

Blue Jays Looking To Lock Up Division

George Springer has 151 hits and Bo Bichette has 181 hits with Springer adding 31 home runs, a triple, 27 doubles and 82 RBIs while Bichette has 44 doubles, 18 home runs and 94 RBIs. Andres Gimenez has added 68 hits with 10 doubles and 7 home runs and 34 RBIs this season along with 12 stolen bases. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. also has 23 homers, 34 doubles and 83 RBIs while Springer also has a .306 batting average and 111 strikeouts up to this point in the year. Addison Barger’s chipped in 31 doubles with 20 home runs and 72 RBIs and Ernie Clement’s added 35 doubles as part of his 150 hits this season.

Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win

• The Rays have lost each of their last eight road games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Blue Jays have won each of their last six home games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Rays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven day games following a loss.
• The home team has covered the run line in each of the last four games between the Rays and Blue Jays.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

• George Springer has hit a home run in three of his last four Sunday appearances at Rogers Centre.
• Kevin Gausman has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last five appearances in day games.
• Bo Bichette has recorded a Double in five of his last six appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
• Bo Bichette has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 21 appearances with the Blue Jays as home favorites against AL opponents.
• George Springer ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.395) this season.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Blue Jays’ last seven games as favorites against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Rays’ last five games as underdogs against the Blue Jays have gone UNDER the total runs line.

Blue Jays vs Rays Prediction

I’m on the Blue Jays here. I get the case to be made for the Rays to play spoiler, but Toronto’s just back to finding ways to get the job done in this series. They should’ve locked it up long ago, but better late than never unless you’re a Yankee fan. I think Toronto rides a strong start from Gausman and the bullpen locks it down to win the AL East. Give me Toronto here.