Twins vs Blue Jays Prediction 5/2/26 MLB Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Twins vs Blue Jays prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, May 2nd at Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Minnesota Twins Betting Preview

The Minnesota Twins are 14-19 this year after they split the first two games in this series by scores of 7-1 and 3-7. In game two, Minnesota tied the game at two in the third inning, but they allowed the next five runs in the loss. The Twins recorded 10 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Buxton, who went 2-4 with one home run and two RBIs. Woods Richardson allowed nine hits and four earned runs over 4.2 innings for the loss, while Orze allowed one earned run in relief. Prior to this series, Minnesota lost two out of three against the Mariners and all three against the Rays. 

This season, Minnesota has a 4.33 ERA with a 1.36 WHIP and a .251 opponent batting average, while they have scored 157 runs with a .235 batting average and a .327 on base percentage. Ryan Jeffers has led the Twins with four home runs and 21 RBIs, while Josh Bell has added three home runs and 17 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Minnesota is Connor Prielipp, who is 1-0 with a 4.00 ERA and a 0.89 WHIP over 9.0 innings pitched this year. 

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays are 15-17 this season after they won game two by a score of 7-3 last night. Toronto jumped out to a 2-0 lead in the second inning and they took control of the game in the middle innings for the win. The Blue Jays recorded 11 hits in the game and they were led by Okamoto, who went 2-4 with two home runs and three RBIs. Corbin allowed six hits and two earned runs over 5.1 innings for the win, while Hoffman allowed one earned run in relief. Prior to this series, Toronto won two out of three against the Red Sox and two out of three against the Guardians. 

This season, Toronto has a 4.27 ERA with a 1.30 WHIP and a .245 opponent batting average, while they have scored 129 runs with a .250 batting average and a .311 on base percentage. Kazuma Okamoto has led the Blue Jays with seven home runs and 18 RBIs, while Jesus Sanchez has added four home runs and 15 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Dylan Cease, who is 1-1 with a 2.87 ERA and a 1.37 WHIP over 31.1 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Minnesota Twins will win

• The Blue Jays have lost eight of their last nine games as favorites against the Twins following a win.
• The Twins have won seven of their last eight games as underdogs against the Blue Jays following a loss.
• The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven day games against American League opponents following a road win.
• The Twins have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games as underdogs against the Blue Jays following a loss.
• The Blue Jays have lost the first inning in four of their last five day games against opponents that held a losing record.
• The Blue Jays have trailed after 3 innings in six of their last seven day games against AL Central opponents.
• The Twins have led after 5 innings in six of their last seven home games.

Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win

• The Twins have lost each of their last nine Saturday home games.
• The Blue Jays have won four of their last five day games after playing the previous day.
• The Twins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine Saturday home games.
• The Blue Jays have covered the run line in each of their last three day games against American League opponents.
• The Blue Jays have won the first inning in four of their last five day games against the Twins.
• The Blue Jays have led after 3 innings in each of their last three day games against the Twins at Target Field.
• The Twins have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six games against AL East opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Ten of the last 11 games between the Blue Jays and Twins have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Eight of the Blue Jays’ last nine games as favorites against the Twins have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of Dylan Cease’s last nine road appearances as a starter.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Twins’ last seven games.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

• Byron Buxton has hit a home run in four of the Twins’ last five games.
• Byron Buxton has recorded at least one hit in each of the Twins’ last eight home games.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

• Dylan Cease has recorded eight or more strikeouts in three of his four previous road appearances against the Twins.
• George Springer has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 road appearances against the Twins after playing the previous day.
• Alejandro Kirk has hit at least one home run in three of his last four appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• Dylan Cease has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances with his team as a favorite against the Twins .

Twins vs Blue Jays Prediction 

Toronto was able to run away with game two on Friday night and they have won three of their last four games. The Blue Jays are 5-9 on the road this year, while the Twins are 9-9 at home. Minnesota has lost three of their last four games and they have allowed 5+ runs in all three of those losses. The Twins are starting Prielipp, who has allowed four earned runs and five hits over 9.0 innings, while Cease has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. Take the Jays to get another win here.