Twins vs Blue Jays Prediction 5/3/26 MLB Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Twins vs Blue Jays prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, May 3rd at Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Minnesota Twins Betting Preview

The Minnesota Twins are 14-20 this season after they lost two of the first three games in this series by scores of 7-1, 3-7, and 4-11. In game three, Minnesota led 4-2 in the fifth inning, but they didn’t score again in the loss. The Twins recorded seven hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Buxton, who went 1-4 with one home run and one RBI. Prielipp allowed three hits and two earned runs over 5.0 innings, while Garcia picked up the loss in relief. Prior to this series, Minnesota lost two out of three against the Mariners and all three against the Rays. 

This season, Minnesota has a 4.50 ERA with a 1.36 WHIP and a .251 opponent batting average, while they have scored 161 runs with a .234 batting average and a .325 on base percentage. Ryan Jeffers has led the Twins with four home runs and 21 RBIs, while Josh Bell has added three home runs and 17 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Minnesota is Joe Ryan, who is 2-3 with a 3.76 ERA and a 1.04 WHIP over 38.1 innings pitched this season. 

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays are 16-17 this year after they won game three by a score of 11-4 on Saturday afternoon. Toronto trailed 4-2 in the fifth inning, but they scored once in the sixth and eight times in the eighth for the comeback win. The Blue Jays recorded nine hits and they committed one error, while they were led by Valenzuela, who went 1-3 with one home run and three RBIs. Cease allowed seven hits and three earned runs over 7.0 innings for the win, while Miles closed out the game. Prior to this series, Toronto won two out of three against the Red Sox and two out of three against the Guardians. 

This season, Toronto has a 4.23 ERA with a 1.29 WHIP and a .244 opponent batting average, while they have scored 140 runs with a .250 batting average and a .313 on base percentage. Kazuma Okamoto has led the Blue Jays with eight home runs and 20 RBIs, while Jesus Sanchez has added four home runs and 15 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Trey Yesavage, who is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA and a 0.75 WHIP over 5.1 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Minnesota Twins will win

• The Blue Jays have lost seven of their last eight day games against American League opponents following a road win.
• The Twins have won seven of their last nine day games against the Blue Jays following a loss.
• The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight day games against American League opponents following a road win.
• The Twins have covered the run line in three of their last four games against the Blue Jays following a loss.
• The Twins have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight home games.
• The Blue Jays have lost the first inning in each of their last four day games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• The Blue Jays have trailed after 3 innings in seven of their last eight day games against AL Central opponents.

Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win

• The Twins have lost each of their last seven day games after playing the previous day.
• The Blue Jays have won each of their last four day games against American League opponents.
• The Twins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six day games following a loss.
• The Blue Jays have covered the run line in each of their last four day games against American League opponents.
• The Twins have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four day games against AL East opponents.
• The Blue Jays have led after 3 innings in seven of their last eight Sunday games against the Twins at Target Field.

Total Runs Facts

• Eleven of the last 12 games between the Blue Jays and Twins have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Six of the Blue Jays’ last seven day games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Twins’ last eight games.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Blue Jays’ last eight day games against AL Central opponents.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

• Byron Buxton has hit a home run in five of the Twins’ last six games.
• Joe Ryan has recorded six or more strikeouts in six of his last seven home appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• Byron Buxton has recorded at least one hit in each of the Twins’ last nine home games.
• Joe Ryan has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
• Byron Buxton ranks T7th in the league in Home Runs (10) this season.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

• Alejandro Kirk has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
• Alejandro Kirk has hit at least one home run in three of his last four appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ranks T7th in the league in Hits (40) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Twins rank 29th in the league for doubles this season (40).
• The Twins are one of only four teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and home runs this season.
• The Blue Jays rank 1st in the league for strikeouts against this season (218).
• The Blue Jays rank 29th in the league for steals this season (12).

Twins vs Blue Jays Prediction 

Toronto was able to get a huge eighth inning on Saturday to get the win and they will look for the series win here. The Blue Jays are 6-9 on the road this year, while the Twins are 9-10 at home. Minnesota has allowed 7+ runs in three of their last five games, but they are starting Ryan, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. Toronto is going with Yesavage, who was fantastic against the Red Sox in his first outing. I don’t fully trust Yesavage after just one start this year, but I will still back the Jays to win here.