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Twins vs Cubs Prediction 7/8/25 MLB Picks Today

Chicago Cubs (54-36) vs. Minnesota Twins (43-47)
July 8, 2025 7:40 pm EDT
The Line: Minnesota Twins 119 / Chicago Cubs -145; Over/Under: 9
(Get latest betting odds)

The Chicago Cubs and Minnesota Twins meet Tuesday in MLB action at Target Field. Here’s a Twins vs Cubs Prediction. This article will include a Twins vs Cubs Pick.

Chicago Cubs Betting Preview

The Chicago Cubs are 54-36 on the year and play the Yankees, Red Sox, and Royals next. The Chicago Cubs are batting .257 on the season, have a .328 OBP, and a .451 slugging percentage. The Chicago Cubs pitching staff has a 3.78 ERA and a 1.23 WHIP. Pete Crow-Armstrong leads the Chicago Cubs with 95 hits and 67 RBI, while Kyle Tucker and Nico Hoerner have combined for 189 hits and 92 RBI.

Shota Imanaga gets the ball for the Chicago Cubs, and he is 5-2 with a 2.78 ERA and 41 strikeouts this season. This will be Imanaga’s second career game against the Minnesota Twins.

Minnesota Twins Betting Preview

The Minnesota Twins are 43-47 on the year and play the Pirates, Rockies, and Dodgers next. The Minnesota Twins are batting .239 on the season, have a .309 OBP, and a .391 slugging percentage. The Minnesota Twins pitching staff has a 4.15 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP. Trevor Larnach leads the Minnesota Twins with 80 hits and 39 RBI, while Ty France and Byron Buxton have combined for 155 hits and 95 RBI.

Simeon Woods Richardson gets the ball for the Minnesota Twins, and he is 4-4 with a 4.41 ERA and 55 strikeouts this season. This will be Woods Richardson’s first career game against the Chicago Cubs.

Why the Minnesota Twins will win

  • The Twins have won four of their last five games as home underdogs against NL Central opponents.
  • The Cubs have lost each of their last four road games against American League opponents following a win.
  • The Cubs have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven night games against AL Central opponents following a home win.
  • The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Twins’ last six games.
  • The Cubs have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three games at Target Field.
  • The Twins have led after 5 innings in four of their last five night games against the Cubs.

Why the Chicago Cubs will win

  • The Cubs have won each of their last 11 road games against American League opponents following a home win.
  • The Twins have lost each of their last six night games after going to extra innings.
  • The Twins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games.
  • The Cubs have covered the run line in four of their last five games as road favorites against American League opponents.
  • The Cubs have won the first inning in each of their last three games as road favorites against American League opponents.
  • The Cubs have led after 3 innings in each of their last four games as road favorites against American League opponents.
  • The Twins have trailed after 5 innings in seven of their last eight games as underdogs against NL Central opponents.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

  • Byron Buxton has hit at least one home run in each of the Twins’ last three games as underdogs against NL Central opponents.
  • Carlos Correa has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances with the Twins as home underdogs.
  • Trevor Larnach has recorded a Double in four of the Twins’ last five games as underdogs against NL opponents.

Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts

  • Kyle Tucker has recorded a Double in six of his last seven appearances against the Twins after not playing the previous day.
  • Seiya Suzuki has hit at least one home run in each of the Cubs’ last two games as road favorites against AL opponents.
  • Shota Imanaga has recorded a win in seven of his last eight appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Shota Imanaga has recorded six or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Justin Turner has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 road appearances against AL opponents.
  • Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks 3rd in the league in Steals (27) this season.

Twins vs Cubs Prediction

The Cubs are playing better baseball, and Imanaga is one of the better young pitchers in the sport. The problem is Imanaga has pitched just three times since May, and the lack of consistent reps makes it hard to trust. While great when he does pitches, building a rhythm is more important. Woods Richardson has been up and down at times, but he’s allowed just four hits and one run in his last 10 innings. Woods Richardson has allowed one or fewer runs in two of his last three starts. In 30.2 home innings, Woods Richardson is allowing a 3.82 ERA and a .237 allowed batting average. I’ll take a shot with the Twins and the plus money at home.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Minnesota Twins +119

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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