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Twins vs Dodgers Prediction 6/23/26 MLB Picks Today

LA Dodgers (50-29) vs. Minnesota Twins (38-42)
June 23, 2026 7:40 pm EDT
The Line: Minnesota Twins 153 / LA Dodgers -186; Over/Under: 9
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate a Twins vs Dodgers prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, June 23rd at Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Minnesota Twins Betting Preview

The Minnesota Twins are 38-42 this season after they lost game one by a score of 1-2 on Monday night. Minnesota tied the game at one in the first inning, but they failed to score in the last eight innings for the loss. The Twins recorded three hits in the game and they were led by Buxton, who went 1-4 with one home run and one RBI. Matthews allowed six hits and two earned runs over 6.0 innings for the loss, while Rogers threw 1.1 innings in relief. Prior to this series, Minnesota won two out of three against the Diamondbacks and all three against the Rangers. 

This season, Minnesota has a 4.75 ERA with a 1.39 WHIP and a .253 opponent batting average, while they have scored 389 runs with a .246 batting average and a .322 on base percentage. Byron Buxton has led the Twins with 25 home runs and 41 RBIs, while Josh Bell has added nine home runs and 48 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Minnesota is Kendry Rojas, who is 1-0 with a 1.26 ERA and a 1.47 WHIP over 14.1 innings pitched this season. 

Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Preview

The Los Angeles Dodgers are 50-29 this year after they won game one by a score of 2-1 last night. Los Angeles blew a 1-0 lead in the first inning, but they scored once in the sixth inning to barely escape with the win. The Dodgers recorded nine hits in the game and they were led by Ohtani, who went 1-4 with one home run and one RBI. Lauer allowed zero hits and zero earned runs over 6.0 innings for the win, while Scott picked up the save. Prior to this series, Los Angeles lost two out of three against the Orioles, but did sweep the Rays before that. 

This season, Los Angeles has a 3.43 ERA with a 1.10 WHIP and a .212 opponent batting average, while they have scored 407 runs with a .259 batting average and a .343 on base percentage. Andy Pages has led the Dodgers with 15 home runs and 57 RBIs, while Freddie Freeman has added 13 home runs and 41 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Los Angeles is Justin Wrobleski, who is 8-2 with a 2.72 ERA and a 1.01 WHIP over 79.1 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Minnesota Twins will win

  • The Dodgers have lost each of their last five games as favorites against AL Central opponents following a win.
  • The Twins have won each of their last four games as underdogs against NL West opponents following a loss.
  • The Dodgers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games.
  • The Twins have covered the run line in each of their last seven games as home underdogs against National League opponents following a loss.
  • The Twins have led after 5 innings in five of their last six games as home underdogs against NL West opponents.
  • The Twins have led after 3 innings in four of their last five night games.

Why the Los Angeles Dodgers will win

  • The Dodgers have won 14 of their last 15 night games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Twins have lost seven of their last eight games against the Dodgers following a home loss.
  • The Twins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven night games against NL West opponents following a home loss.
  • The road team has covered the run line in six of the Dodgers’ last seven games.
  • The Dodgers have led after 5 innings in 11 of their last 13 games as road favorites.
  • The Dodgers have led after 3 innings in five of their last six road games against American League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Dodgers’ last four night games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Ten of the Twins’ last 12 night games as underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in seven of the Dodgers’ last eight road games against AL Central opponents.
  • There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of Joe Ryan’s last four appearances as a starter.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

  • Byron Buxton has hit at least one home run in four of his last five home appearances against NL opponents.
  • Byron Buxton has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 home appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Byron Buxton ranks T2nd in the league in Home Runs (25) this season.

Los Angeles Dodgers Player Prop Facts

  • Shohei Ohtani has hit a home run in each of the Dodgers’ last four games against the Twins.
  • Freddie Freeman has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 20 appearances against the Twins.
  • Shohei Ohtani ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.418) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Twins rank 28th in the league for runs allowed this season (408).
  • The Twins rank 27th in the league for ERA this season (4.75).
  • The Dodgers rank 1st in the league for batting average this season (.259).
  • The Dodgers rank 1st in the league for on-base percentage this season (.343).

Twins vs Dodgers Prediction 

Los Angeles was able to bounce back from that series loss to Baltimore with a win on Monday night and they have won three of their last five games. The Dodgers are 24-15 on the road this year, while the Twins are 20-20 at home. Minnesota has also won three of their last five games, but they have allowed 8+ runs in two of their last four. The Twins are starting Rojas, who has allowed two earned runs in his last 14.1 innings, while Wrobleski has allowed one earned run or fewer in three of his last four starts. Take the Dodgers -1.5 in this one. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Dodgers -1.5

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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