Twins vs Mariners Prediction 6/24/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Twins vs Mariners prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, June 24th at Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Minnesota Twins Betting Preview

The Minnesota Twins are 37-41 this year after they lost game one in this series by a score of 11-2. Minnesota was able to score two runs in the sixth inning to avoid the shutout, but they had no chance to make a comeback in the loss. The Twins recorded seven hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Larnach and Correa, who both had one RBI in the loss. Minnesota started Ober, who allowed seven hits and seven earned runs over 7.0 innings for the loss, while Wentz allowed five hits and four earned runs in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Twins lost all three against the Brewers and two out of three against the Reds. Minnesota has lost 10 of its last 11 games, and they are currently fourth in the AL Central standings. The Minnesota pitching staff has a 4.26 ERA with a 1.26 WHIP and a .249 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 330 runs with a .243 batting average and a .314 on-base percentage this season. Byron Buxton has led Minnesota with 17 home runs and 47 RBIs, while Trevor Larnach has added 11 home runs and 36 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Minnesota is Chris Paddack, who is 3-6 with a 4.48 ERA and a 1.23 WHIP over 80.1 innings pitched this year. 

Seattle Mariners Betting Preview

The Seattle Mariners are 40-37 this season after they won game one by a score of 11-2 on Monday night. Seattle jumped out to a 7-0 lead in the sixth inning, and they added four more in the ninth to seal the win. The Mariners recorded 12 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Rodriguez, who went 2-5 with one home run and four RBIs in the win. Seattle started Woo, who allowed six hits and two earned runs over 6.0 innings for the win, while Bazardo and Pop finished the game in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Mariners won two out of three against the Cubs, but lost two out of three against the Red Sox before that. Seattle has won seven of their last ten games, and they are currently second in the AL West standings. The Seattle pitching staff has a 3.96 ERA with a 1.28 WHIP and a .249 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 358 runs with a .249 batting average and a .326 on-base percentage this season. Cal Raleigh has led Seattle with 32 home runs and 68 RBIs, while Jorge Polanco has added 11 home runs and 36 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Seattle is Luis Castillo, who is 4-5 with a 3.38 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP over 85.1 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Twins will beat the Mariners

• The Twins have won seven of their last eight home games against AL West opponents following a home loss.
• The Mariners have lost eight of their last nine night games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine road games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Twins have covered the run line in seven of their last eight night games against the Mariners following a loss.
• The Mariners have lost the first inning in three of their last four games at Target Field against American League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Mariners have trailed after 3 innings in six of their last seven games as road underdogs.
• The Mariners have trailed after 5 innings in seven of their last eight road night games.

Why the Mariners will beat the Twins

• The Twins have lost each of their last six games as favorites.
• The Mariners have won each of their last six games against AL Central opponents.
• The Twins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as favorites.
• The road team has covered the run line in seven of the Twins’ last eight games.
• The Twins have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Twins have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last seven night games against opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Mariners’ last four night games against AL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the last four games between the Mariners and Twins at Target Field have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mariners’ last six games as underdogs against American League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Twins’ last four night games at Target Field.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

• Chris Paddack has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his four previous home appearances against the Mariners.
• Trevor Larnach has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last five appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
• Carlos Correa has recorded at least one hit in each of the Twins’ last nine home games against AL West opponents.
• Carlos Correa has recorded a Double in three of the Twins’ last four games as home favorites against AL West opponents.
• Byron Buxton has scored at least one run in 11 of his last 12 appearances with the Twins as home favorites against AL West opponents.
• Chris Paddack has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances against the Mariners.
• Carlos Correa has hit a home run in three of the Twins’ last four night games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.

Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts

• Luis Castillo has recorded a win in five of his last six appearances against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• Cal Raleigh has hit at least one home run in each of the Mariners’ last four games against the Twins.
• Luis Castillo has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last six Tuesday appearances with his team as an underdog.
• Donovan Solano has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last six road appearances.
• Julio Rodriguez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mariners’ last 14 games as road underdogs.
• Randy Arozarena has recorded at least one Double in four of the Mariners’ last five games.
• Julio Rodriguez has scored at least one run in seven of his last eight road appearances against AL opponents.

Twins vs Mariners Prediction 

Minnesota continued its pitching struggles in Monday’s blowout loss, and they are looking to find some positive momentum here. The Twins are 20-16 at home this year, while the Mariners are 20-18 on the road. Seattle is red hot right now, and they are starting Castillo, who has allowed 3+ earned runs in three of his last five starts. The Twins are going with Paddack, who has allowed 12 earned runs in his last 9.0 innings. We were on the over in game one of this series, and we are going right back to it here, as the Minnesota pitching staff is falling apart.