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Twins vs Mariners Prediction 6/26/25 MLB Picks Today

Seattle Mariners (41-38) vs. Minnesota Twins (38-42)
June 26, 2025 1:10 pm EDT
The Line: Minnesota Twins -119 / Seattle Mariners -102; Over/Under: 8.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Seattle Mariners and Minnesota Twins meet Thursday in MLB action at Target Field. Here’s a Twins vs Mariners Prediction. This article will include a Twins vs Mariners Pick.

Seattle Mariners Betting Preview

The Seattle Mariners are 41-38 on the year and play the Rangers, Royals, and Pirates next. The Seattle Mariners are batting .247 on the season, have a .324 OBP, and a .406 slugging percentage. The Seattle Mariners’ pitching staff has a 3.95 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP. Cal Raleigh leads the Seattle Mariners with 81 hits and 69 RBI, while Julio Rodriguez and J.P. Crawford have combined for 157 hits and 71 RBI.

Emerson Hancock gets the ball for the Seattle Mariners, and he is 3-3 with a 5.43 ERA and 50 strikeouts this season. This will be Hancock’s second career game against the Minnesota Twins.

Minnesota Twins Betting Preview

The Minnesota Twins are 38-42 on the year and play the Tigers, Marlins, and Rays next. The Minnesota Twins are batting .242 on the season, have a .312 OBP, and a .395 slugging percentage. The Minnesota Twins pitching staff has a 4.22 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP. Ty France leads the Minnesota Twins with 74 hits and 42 RBI, while Trevor Larnach and Byron Buxton have combined for 138 hits and 83 RBI.

Simeon Woods Richardson gets the ball for the Minnesota Twins, and he is 2-4 with a 5.06 ERA and 46 strikeouts this season. This will be Woods Richardson’s second career game against the Seattle Mariners.

Why the Minnesota Twins will win

  • The Mariners have lost each of their last seven games as underdogs after playing the previous day.
  • The Twins have won nine of their last 10 Thursday games against the Mariners.
  • The Mariners have failed to cover the run line each of their last six day games against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Twins have covered the run line in each of their last six Thursday games as favorites against the Mariners.
  • The Mariners have trailed after 3 innings in six of their last eight games as road underdogs.
  • The Mariners have lost the first inning in three of their last four day games at Target Field.
  • The Twins have led after 5 innings in four of their last five day games at Target Field against AL West opponents.

Why the Seattle Mariners will win

  • The Mariners have won each of their last four games as road underdogs against American League opponents following a loss.
  • The Twins have lost each of their last four games as favorites following a win.
  • The Twins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight day games following a win.
  • The Mariners have covered the run line in 12 of their last 13 games as underdogs against American League opponents following a loss.
  • The Mariners have won the first inning in each of their last six Thursday road games against American League opponents.
  • The Twins have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last eight Thursday games as favorites.
  • The Mariners have led after 3 innings in 14 of their last 15 day games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

  • Ryan Jeffers has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances with the Twins as home favorites against the Mariners.
  • Carlos Correa has recorded at least one hit in each of the Twins’ last 11 home games against AL West opponents.
  • Byron Buxton ranks 7th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.554) this season.

Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts

  • Randy Arozarena has recorded at least one Double in each of the Mariners’ last four day games.
  • Cal Raleigh has hit at least one home run in each of the Mariners’ last three day games.
  • Julio Rodriguez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mariners’ last 15 games as road underdogs.
  • Cal Raleigh ranks 1st in the league in Home Runs (32) this season.

Twins vs Mariners Prediction

I’m not excited to get behind either of these pitchers, as both Hancock and Woods Richardson have ERAs over five and WHIPs in the 1.4s. The over is worth a look. However, in terms of a pick, the Twins haven’t won two straight games since June 3-4, and their pitching staff overall has been getting rocked. The Mariners have the bats to take advantage of questionable arms, as they’ve scored six or more runs in seven of their last 10 games. We’re getting a cheap price to fade a team that can’t string wins together. Give me the M’s on the road.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Seattle Mariners -102

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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