NY Mets (11-5) vs. Minnesota Twins (5-12)
April 15, 2025 7:40 pm EDT
The Line: Minnesota Twins 100 / NY Mets -120; Over/Under: 8
(Get latest betting odds)
The New York Mets and Minnesota Twins meet on Tuesday in MLB action at Target Field. Here’s a Twins vs Mets Prediction. This article will include a Twins vs Mets Pick.
New York Mets Betting Preview
The New York Mets are 11-5 on the year and play the Cardinals, Phillies, and Nationals next. The New York Mets are batting .214 on the season, have a .300 OBP, and a .367 slugging percentage. The New York Mets’ pitching staff has a 2.22 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP. Pete Alonso leads the New York Mets with 19 hits and 19 RBI, while Juan Soto and Francisco Lindor have combined for 27 hits and 12 RBI.
Tylor Megill gets the ball for the New York Mets, and he is 2-1 with a 0.63 ERA and 17 strikeouts this season. Megill is 0-0 with a 1.29 ERA and 4 strikeouts in his career against the Minnesota Twins.
Minnesota Twins Betting Preview
The Minnesota Twins are 5-12 on the year and play the Braves, White Sox, and Angels next. The Minnesota Twins are batting .203 on the season, have a .274 OBP, and a .327 slugging percentage. The Minnesota Twins’ pitching staff has a 3.86 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP. Ty France leads the Minnesota Twins with 17 hits and 8 RBI, while Matt Wallner and Willi Castro have combined for 27 hits and 7 RBI.
Bailey Ober gets the ball for the Minnesota Twins, and he is 0-1 with a 7.11 ERA and 12 strikeouts this season. This will be Ober’s first career game against the New York Mets.
Why the Minnesota Twins will win
- The underdogs have won six of the Mets’ last seven games at Target Field.
- The Mets have lost each of their last three games as road favorites following a win.
- The Mets have failed to cover the run line each of their last nine Tuesday games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in six of the Mets’ last seven games at Target Field.
- The Mets have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five Tuesday games as road favorites.
Why the New York Mets will win
- The Twins have lost each of their last nine night games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Mets have won 12 of their last 13 night games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Twins have failed to cover the run line each of their last nine night games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last six night games against AL Central opponents.
- The Twins have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last seven games against NL East opponents.
- The Mets have led after 5 innings in each of their last six games as favorites against AL Central opponents.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Twins rank 27th in the league for batting average this season (.203).
- The Twins rank 27th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.274).
- The Mets rank 1st in the league for ERA this season (2.22).
- The Mets rank 1st in the league for home runs allowed this season (7).
Twins vs Mets Prediction
This price is ridiculously cheap when you consider how well the Mets have played up to this point and how poorly the Twins look. Also, Megill has been ridiculous through three starts, allowing 11 hits and one earned run through 14.1 innings while striking out 17. Ober has been solid in his last two starts, but he’s still given up 16 hits and 10 runs through 12.2 innings this season. It also doesn’t matter how well Ober pitches when you consider the Twins have scored three or fewer runs in 10 of their first 17 games. The Mets and the soft price has to be one of the better bets on Tuesday’s MLB card.
