Twins vs Mets Prediction 4/16/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Twins vs Mets Prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, April 16th, at Target Field. Let’s take a look at a New York Mets vs Minnesota Twins pick. 

Disappointing Loss for the Mets

After a win in the first game of the series, the Mets didn’t do enough on Tuesday. Max Kranick came in out of the bullpen and went 1.2 innings, giving up four hits and two runs. Juan Soto and Pete Alonso both hit home runs, and the Mets are going to need to find success with the long ball again in this game. 

The Mets are averaging 4.13 runs while their pitching is giving up 2.63 runs per game. The offense is ranked 16th in the league, while the pitching is ranked 1st. They have a positive run differential of 1.5, which is 4th. Getting the start for the Mets will be Griffin Canning, who sits with a 1-1 record and an ERA of 4.20. Against the Athletics, he went 5.1 innings, giving up seven hits and four runs. 

Twins Heating Up?

The Twins, all of a sudden, are heating up, and they have won two of the last three games. On Tuesday, the offense broke out in a big way, scoring six runs, and they ended up winning. Brooks Lee was just called up, and he hit a home run. Bailey Ober wasn’t his sharpest, but he went 6.1 innings, giving up five hits and three runs. 

The Twins are averaging 3.924 runs per game, while their pitching is giving up 4.29 runs per game. The offense is ranked 27th in the league, while the pitching is ranked 15th. Getting the start in this game for the Twins will be David Festa, who has a 0-0 record and an ERA of 0.00. Against the Detroit Tigers, he went 4.2 innings, giving up three hits, one run, and zero runs. They need him to go a little deeper than he did in the last game. 

Why the Twins Will Beat the Mets

• The Mets have lost eight of their last nine games against AL Central opponents following a road loss.
• The Twins have won five of their last six day games against NL East opponents.
• The Twins have covered the run line in each of their last six Wednesday day home games against National League opponents.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in 12 of their last 14 day games against AL Central opponents.
• The Mets have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four road day games.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Mets’ last five day games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Four of the Twins’ last five games as favorites have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 13 of the Twins’ last 14 day games.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Mets’ last nine road games against American League opponents.

Twins vs Mets Prediction

Don’t look now, but the Mets and Twins are suddenly playing well, and they have won two of the last three games. Now they send David Festa to the mound, who was good in his last start, and even though he didn’t go deep, I expect he’s going to go a little deeper here. The Twins are averaging only 3.91 runs per game, and trusting them has been a little bit of a sweat this year because of he lack of offense, but they are going to score just enough to come out ahead. Back the Twins on the money line.