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Twins vs Orioles Prediction 8/10/26 MLB Picks Today

Baltimore Orioles (57-61) vs. Minnesota Twins (58-61)
August 10, 2026 7:40 pm EDT
The Line: Minnesota Twins -108 / Baltimore Orioles -112; Over/Under: 8.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Baltimore Orioles and Minnesota Twins meet Monday in MLB action at Target Field. Here’s a Twins vs Orioles Prediction. This article will include a Twins vs Orioles Pick.

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The Baltimore Orioles are 57-61 on the year and play the Rays and Yankees next. The Baltimore Orioles are batting .235 on the season, with a .320 OBP and a .394 slugging percentage. The Baltimore Orioles pitching staff has a 4.19 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP. Pete Alonso leads the Baltimore Orioles with 111 hits and 75 RBI, while Leody Taveras and Gunnar Henderson have combined for 171 hits and 89 RBI.

Trevor Rogers gets the ball for the Baltimore Orioles, and he is 7-7 with a 4.20 ERA and 98 strikeouts this season. This will be Rogers’ second career game against the Minnesota Twins.

Minnesota Twins Betting Preview

The Minnesota Twins are 58-61 on the year and play the Phillies and Braves next. The Minnesota Twins are batting .243 on the season, with a .317 OBP and a .405 slugging percentage. The Minnesota Twins’ pitching staff has a 4.59 ERA and a 1.38 WHIP. Josh Bell leads the Minnesota Twins with 105 hits and 68 RBI, while Luke Keaschall and Brooks Lee have combined for 197 hits and 95 RBI.

Dean Kremer gets the ball for the Minnesota Twins, and he is 1-4 with a 5.93 ERA and 40 strikeouts this season. This will be Kremer’s first career game against the Baltimore Orioles.

Why the Minnesota Twins will win

  • The Orioles have lost each of their last 11 games at Target Field against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Twins have won each of their last seven home games following a road loss.
  • The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Twins’ last 12 games.
  • The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven games at Target Field against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Twins have led after 5 innings in each of their last eight Monday night games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Twins have won the first inning in five of their last six games as home underdogs against AL East opponents.
  • The Twins have led after 3 innings in four of their last five games against AL East opponents.

Why the Baltimore Orioles will win

  • The Orioles have won each of their last seven road games against the Twins following a road win.
  • The Twins have lost nine of their last 10 games against the Orioles following a loss.
  • The Orioles have covered the run line in each of their last seven road games against the Twins following a road win.
  • The Twins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six home games against the Orioles following a loss.
  • The Twins have trailed after 5 innings in seven of their last eight games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Twins have lost the first inning in each of their last three games.
  • The Twins have trailed after 3 innings in seven of their last eight games against opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Orioles’ last seven road games against AL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Nine of the Twins’ last 10 home games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Twins’ last eight games against AL East opponents.
  • There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Orioles’ last seven games as favorites against American League opponents.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

  • Josh Bell has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances with his team as a home underdog against the Orioles.
  • Dean Kremer has recorded six or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • Royce Lewis has recorded at least one hit in each of the Twins’ last 11 games against AL opponents.
  • Dean Kremer has recorded a win in six of his last seven appearances with his team as a home underdog against AL East opponents.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

  • Tyler O’Neill has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
  • Trevor Rogers has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances.
  • Leody Taveras has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven road appearances against the Twins.
  • Trevor Rogers has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances in night games.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Twins rank 26th in the league for runs allowed this season (588).
  • The Twins rank 25th in the league for ERA this season (4.59).
  • The Orioles rank 3rd in the league for walks this season (459).
  • The Orioles rank 27th in the league for strikeouts against this season (1085).

Twins vs Orioles Prediction

Two teams fighting for a postseason spot, so this should be a competitive series. Kremer should be motivated after just being traded from Baltimore, but he’s allowed 33 hits and 22 runs in his last 30 innings. Not in good form at all. Rogers has allowed 31 hits and 10 earned runs in his last 36.1 innings. This is the best Rogers has looked since making an All-Star appearance with the Marlins. In a pick ’em spot, I’m going to back the pitcher in better form and roll with the Orioles on the road.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Baltimore Orioles -112

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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