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Twins vs Pirates Prediction 7-12-25 MLB Picks

Pittsburgh Pirates (38-57) vs. Minnesota Twins (46-48)
July 12, 2025 6:10 pm EDT
The Line: Minnesota Twins -144 / Pittsburgh Pirates 118; Over/Under: 9
(Get latest betting odds)

The Pittsburgh Pirates and Minnesota Twins meet Saturday in MLB action at Target Field. Here’s a Twins vs Pirates Prediction. This article will include a Twins vs Pirates Pick.

Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 38-57 on the year and play the White Sox, Tigers, and Diamondbacks next. The Pittsburgh Pirates are batting .230 on the season, have a .301 OBP, and a .339 slugging percentage. The Pittsburgh Pirates’ pitching staff has a 3.67 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP. Bryan Reynolds leads the Pittsburgh Pirates with 78 hits and 46 RBI, while Ke’Bryan Hayes and Andrew McCutchen have combined for 152 hits and 62 RBI.

Mike Burrows gets the ball for the Pittsburgh Pirates, and he is 1-2 with a 3.63 ERA and 41 strikeouts this season. This will be Burrows’ first career game against the Minnesota Twins.

Minnesota Twins Betting Preview

The Minnesota Twins are 46-48 on the year and play the Rockies, Dodgers, and Nationals next. The Minnesota Twins are batting .239 on the season, have a .276 OBP, and a .394 slugging percentage. The Minnesota Twins pitching staff has a 4.10 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP. Trevor Larnach leads the Minnesota Twins with 81 hits and 41 RBI, while Ty France and Byron Buxton have combined for 159 hits and 95 RBI.

The Minnesota Twins didn’t announce a starting pitcher at the time this article was published.

Why the Minnesota Twins will win

  • The home team has won each of the Pirates’ last 15 games.
  • The Pirates have lost each of their last nine road games.
  • The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six day games against AL Central opponents.
  • The Twins have led after 5 innings in each of their last four games against the Pirates at Target Field.
  • The Pirates have trailed after 3 innings in six of their last seven day games against American League opponents.

Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will win

  • The Twins have lost five of their last six games as home favorites against NL Central opponents following a win.
  • The underdogs have won three of the last four games between the Pirates and Twins.
  • The Twins have failed to cover the run line in 13 of their last 14 day games following a win.
  • The Pirates have covered the run line in 12 of their last 13 road games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Twins have trailed after 3 innings in seven of their last eight day games against National League opponents.
  • The Twins have trailed after 5 innings in seven of their last eight day games against National League opponents.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

  • Trevor Larnach has recorded a Double in three of the Twins’ last four day games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Carlos Correa has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine home appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Harrison Bader has hit at least one home run in three of his last six appearances.

Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts

  • Tommy Pham has recorded two or more hits in each of his last five appearances in day games.
  • Oneil Cruz has hit a home run in four of his last 12 road appearances with the Pirates against AL opponents.
  • Andrew McCutchen has recorded a Double in three of the Pirates’ last four day games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
  • Oneil Cruz ranks 2nd in the league in Steals (29) this season.

Twins vs Pirates Prediction

It would be nice to know who takes the mound for the Twins, but it probably doesn’t matter in this spot. The Pirates have lost seven straight games, and they’ve scored no more than three runs in each contest. Burrows is having a strong season, which includes just shutting out the Mariners through five innings and allowing one run in his last 11.2 innings overall. Still, the Pirates as a team are riding the struggle bus and are a tough sell. Regardless of who takes the mound for the Twins, I’m fading the Pirates. Give me the Twins on Saturday afternoon.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Minnesota Twins -144

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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