Pittsburgh Pirates (38-58) vs. Minnesota Twins (47-48)
July 13, 2025 6:10 pm EDT
The Line: Minnesota Twins -142 / Pittsburgh Pirates 116; Over/Under: 9
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article, we will formulate a Twins vs Pirates prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, July 13, at Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview
The Pittsburgh Pirates (38-58, 12-37 Away) are going through their worst period of the season after losing eight consecutive games. Pittsburgh was swept by the Mariners and Royals, and now is in jeopardy of getting swept at the hands of the Twins. Following a tight 2-1 loss in Game 1, the Pirates succumbed to a 12-4 defeat on Saturday. Mike Burrows took the loss after allowing six runs on five hits with one strikeout and three walks in 1.1 innings.
This season, the Pirates average 3.39 runs per game (30th in the MLB) on a .230/.301/.340 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Pirates’ staff has a 3.68 ERA (9th) and 1.20 WHIP (3rd). Bryan Reynolds leads the Pirates with a .225 batting average, ten home runs, and 46 RBI this season.
Mitch Keller will take the mound for the Pirates on Sunday. The 29-year-old right-hander has a 3-10 record in 19 starts this year with a 3.58 ERA and 1.17 WHIP in 113.0 innings.
Minnesota Twins Betting Preview
The Minnesota Twins (47-48, 28-19 Home) lost to the Detroit Tigers and Miami Marlins on the road but answered with two series wins against the Tampa Bay Rays and Chicago Cubs at home. The Twins edged out the Pirates in Game 1 of the current series and then secured a comfortable 12-4 victory last night. Byron Buxton had a five-hit game and recorded a cycle on his bobblehead day, the first cycle in Target Field’s history. Willi Castro and Kody Clemens led the offense with three RBI apiece, while Travis Adams was credited with the win.
This year, the Twins average 4.16 runs per game (21st in the MLB) on a .239/.309/.394 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Twins’ staff has a 4.14 ERA (22nd) and 1.25 WHIP (13th). Byron Buxton leads the Twins with a .286 batting average, 21 home runs, and 55 RBI this season.
The projected starting pitcher for the Twins is Simeon Woods Richardson, who is 5-4 in 13 starts this season, with a 4.08 ERA and 1.32 WHIP in 68.1 innings.
Total Runs Facts
- Five of the Twins’ last six games as favorites against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Four of the Pirates’ last five games as underdogs against the Twins have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Pirates’ last four games as road underdogs against AL Central opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the last six games between the Pirates and Twins.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Twins rank T25th in the league for steals this season (48).
- The Twins rank 22nd in the league for hits this season (764).
- The Pirates rank 30th in the league for doubles this season (125).
- The Pirates rank 30th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.339).
Twins vs Pirates Prediction
The teams have traded wins in the past couple of years, each recording five wins in the previous ten head-to-head encounters. Six of the last ten duels went under, which was the case with Minnesota’s previous ten games, while eight of Pittsburgh’s last ten went Under. I was surprised by the number of runs the teams produced last night, and I surely don’t expect another high-scoring affair. Mitch Keller has been strong recently; he hasn’t allowed more than two runs in his last five starts. Simeon Woods Richardson, on the other hand, surrendered just four runs in his previous five starts. Go with Under.
