Twins vs Rangers Prediction 9/24/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Twins vs Rangers Prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, September 24^th at the Globe Life Field in the second game of this series, with the Twins having the 1-0 lead. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Texas Rangers Preview

The Texas Rangers have a 79-78 record this season and are sitting on the third place of the AL West. The Rangers have a 47-32 home record and are 69-85 in over/under. They are coming off a 1-4 home defeat by the Marlins, and have eight straight losses. Under is 4-1 in their last 5 games and are playing the Guardians next.

The Rangers have a .235 batting average this season, .304 OBP and .383 slugging percentage. Texas’ pitching staff has a 3.46 ERA and 1.18 WHIP.  Josh Smith leads the Rangers with 123 hits, while Josh Jung is the team’s best hitter with a .253 batting average. Adolis Garcia leads the team in RBI, with 74, while Wyatt Langford adds a team-high 22 home runs.

Jacob deGrom (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Rangers, and he has a 12-8 record, 3.01 ERA and 0.93 WHIP.

Minnesota Twins Preview

The Minnesota Twins have a 68-89 record this season and are sitting on the 4^th place of the AL Central. The Twins have a 30-46 road record and are 73-74 in over/under. They are coming off a 4-1 road victory over the Rangers, and have back-to-back wins. Under is 4-0 in their last 4 games and are playing the Phillies next.

The Twins have a .239 batting average this season, .312 OBP and .397 Slugging percentage. Minnesota’s pitching staff has a 4.65 ERA and 1.33 WHIP. Byron Buxton leads the Twins with 124 hits, adding team-highs both in RBI, with 77, and in home runs, with 31. He is also the team’s best hitter with a .263 batting average.

Taj Bradley (R) is the projected starter for the Twins, and he has a 6-8 record, 5.20 ERA and 1.34 WHIP.

Minnesota Twins @ Texas Rangers Betting Trends: September 24, 2025

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Jacob deGrom      Record this season: 12-8      ERA: 3.01
• Home Record: 6-5
• Last 5 against Twins: 0-1

Why the Texas Rangers will win

• The Rangers have won seven of their last eight home games against American League opponents following a loss.
• The Twins have lost 12 of their last 14 night games after playing the previous day.
• The Rangers have covered the run line in five of their last six games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Twins have failed to cover the run line in three of their last four games after playing the previous day.
• The Twins have trailed after 5 innings in six of their last seven games.
• The Twins have lost the first inning in six of their last seven games.
• The Twins have trailed after 3 innings in 10 of their last 13 road night games.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Taj Bradley      Record this season: 6-8      ERA: 5.20
• Road Record: 2-4
• Last 5 against Rangers: 0-2

Why the Minnesota Twins will win

• The underdogs have won each of the Rangers’ last nine games at Globe Life Field.
• The Rangers have lost each of their last seven games as favorites.
• The Twins have covered the run line in each of their last 11 games as road underdogs against AL West opponents.
• The Rangers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 10 games as home favorites against the Twins following a loss.
• The Rangers have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five night games against American League opponents.
• The Rangers have lost the first inning in three of their last four games against American League opponents.
• The Rangers have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last five night games against American League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Nine of the Rangers’ last 10 games as favorites against AL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Twins’ last four games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Twins’ last eight games as underdogs against AL West opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Rangers’ last four games against American League opponents.

Texas Rangers Player Prop Facts

• Jacob deGrom has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last four home appearances.
• Corey Seager has hit a home run in four of his last five home appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• Adolis Garcia has recorded at least one Double in three of his last four home appearances after playing the previous day.
• Marcus Semien has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 20 home appearances against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

• James Outman has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances with his team as a road underdog against AL West opponents.
• Trevor Larnach has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances with the Twins as underdogs against AL West opponents.
• Trevor Larnach has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances with the Twins as underdogs against AL West opponents.
• Byron Buxton ranks 7th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.535) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Rangers rank 1st in the league for ERA this season (3.46).
• The Rangers rank 1st in the league for runs allowed this season (584).
• The Twins rank T4th in the league for walks allowed this season (450).
• The Twins rank 27th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.259).

Twins vs Rangers Prediction

The Twins are 5-3 in their last 8 head-to-head meetings against the Rangers, and are 4-1 in their last 5 visits in Texas. Over is 3-1-1 in their last 5 meetings.

In this Twins vs Rangers Prediction, the Rangers are coming as -200 home favorites. The Rangers got eliminated from the playoffs with yesterday’s loss, so both teams have nothing to play for. DeGrom has been elite for the Rangers this season and even better at home, while on the other hand, Bradley has been a disaster since joining the Twins. He has been terrible lately, with a 0-5 record and 7.82 ERA across his last 5 starts, and the Rangers have the 5^th-best bullpen in the league, so I expect them to bounce back and get away with the home victory in this one.