Twins vs Rays Prediction 4/3/26 MLB Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Twins vs Rays prediction for this MLB game on Friday, April 3rd at Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Minnesota Twins Betting Preview

The Minnesota Twins are 2-4 this year after they lost two out of three against the Royals by scores of 1-3, 9-13, and 5-1. In their game three win, Minnesota led 1-0 for the majority of the game and they scored four more runs in the last two innings to seal the win. The Twins recorded eight hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Wallner, Clemens, and Bell, who all had one home run. Bradley allowed five hits and zero earned runs over 6.0 innings for the win, while Sands allowed one earned run in relief. 

This season, Minnesota has a 4.32 ERA with a 1.48 WHIP and a .267 opponent batting average, while they have scored 26 runs with a .218 batting average and a .325 on base percentage. Josh Bell has led the Twins with two home runs and five RBIs, while Royce Lewis has added two home runs and three RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Minnesota is Bailey Ober, who is 0-0 with a 6.75 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP over 4.0 innings pitched this year. 

Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays are 2-4 this season after they lost two out of three against the Brewers by scores of 3-2, 2-6, and 2-8. In their game three loss, Tampa Bay led 2-0 in the third inning, but they allowed the last eight runs for the lopsided loss. The Rays recorded five hits and they committed three errors in the game, while they were led by Diaz, who went 1-4 with one home run and two RBIs. Rasmussen allowed two hits and one earned run over 5.0 innings in the no decision, while Jax allowed three earned runs and picked up the loss. 

This season, Tampa Bay has a 5.44 ERA with a 1.31 WHIP and a .256 opponent batting average, while they have scored 30 runs with a .274 batting average and a .337 on base percentage. Yandy Diaz has led the Rays with two home runs and eight RBIs, while Jonny DeLuca has added one home run and four RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Tampa Bay is Joe Boyle, who is 0-0 with a 3.00 ERA and a 0.50 WHIP over 6.0 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Minnesota Twins will win

• The Rays have lost each of their last nine day games against American League opponents following a loss.
• The Twins have won each of their last six games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Rays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight day games against American League opponents following a loss.
• The Twins have covered the run line each of their last six games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Rays have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• The Rays have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five games as road underdogs against American League opponents.

Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win

• The Twins have lost each of their last 10 games as favorites against American League opponents.
• The Rays have won four of their last five games as road underdogs against the Twins following a loss.
• The Twins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 11 games as favorites.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Rays’ last eight games at Target Field.
• The Twins have lost the first inning in five of their last six home games.
• The Twins have trailed after 3 innings in seven of their last eight day games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Twins have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six home games.

Total Runs Facts

• Ten of the Twins’ last 11 games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Six of the Rays’ last seven games have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Twins’ last seven games.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Rays’ last eight Friday day games against American League opponents.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

• Josh Bell has hit a home run in each of the Twins’ last two games.
• Bailey Ober has recorded five or more strikeouts in 15 of his last 18 home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Josh Bell has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances against AL East opponents that held a losing record.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

• Yandy Diaz has hit a home run in two of the Rays’ last three games.
• Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 Friday appearances against teams that held a losing record.
• Yandy Diaz ranks 1st in the league in Hits (12) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Twins rank T4th in the league for triples this season (1).
• The Twins rank 27th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.267).
• The Rays rank 28th in the league for ERA this season (5.44).
• The Rays rank 28th in the league for strikeouts this season (39).

Twins vs Rays Prediction 

Minnesota was able to snap their three game losing streak with a win on Thursday afternoon and they will be at home for this one. The Twins have scored 5+ runs in three of their last four games and they are facing Boyle, who was dialed in for his first start. Tampa Bay has lost two games in a row and they have allowed at least six runs in four of their last five. The Rays are going against Ober, who allowed three earned runs over 4.0 innings in his first outing. Take Tampa Bay to get the win here, as I don’t trust Ober.