Twins vs Red Sox Prediction 4/13/26 MLB Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Twins vs Red Sox prediction for this MLB game on Monday, April 13th at Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Minnesota Twins Betting Preview

The Minnesota Twins are 9-7 this season after they won two out of three against the Blue Jays by scores of 4-10, 7-4, and 8-2. In game three, Minnesota trailed 1-0 in the first inning, but they scored the next eight runs to get the easy win. The Twins recorded eight hits in the game and they were led by Gray, who went 1-3 with one home run and eight RBIs. Bradley allowed five hits and one earned run over 5.0 innings for the win, while Morris picked up a hold. Prior to that series, Minnesota won all four against the Tigers, but lost two out of three against the Rays before that. 

This season, Minnesota has a 4.18 ERA with a 1.41 WHIP and a .256 opponent batting average, while they have scored 79 runs with a .225 batting average and a .328 on base percentage. Josh Bell has led the Twins with three home runs and 12 RBIs, while Tristan Gray has added two home runs and 11 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Minnesota is Bailey Ober, who is 1-0 with a 5.27 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP over 13.2 innings pitched this season. 

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

The Boston Red Sox are 6-9 this year after they won two out of three against the Cardinals by scores of 2-3, 7-1, and 9-3. In game three, Boston scored seven runs in the first four innings and they cruised to a very easy win. The Red Sox recorded 12 hits and they were led by Duran and Contreras, who both had three RBIs in the game. Bello allowed six hits and two earned runs over 6.2 innings for the win, while Kelly allowed one earned run in relief. Prior to that series, Boston won two out of three against the Brewers, but lost two out of three against the Padres before that. 

This season, Boston has a 3.84 ERA with a 1.32 WHIP and a .235 opponent batting average, while they have scored 62 runs with a .233 batting average and a .317 on base percentage. Wilson Contreras has led the Red Sox with three home runs and 11 RBIs, while Trevor Story has added one home run and 11 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Boston is Garrett Crochet, who is 2-1 with a 3.12 ERA and a 1.04 WHIP over 17.1 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Minnesota Twins will win

• The Red Sox have lost each of their last four games as favorites against the Twins following a road win.
• The Twins have won five of their last six games as underdogs.
• The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine Monday games as road favorites against AL Central opponents.
• The Twins have covered the run line in each of their last four home games.
• The Red Sox have lost the first inning in five of their last six games as road favorites against American League opponents.
• The Twins have led after 3 innings in each of their last four games against AL East opponents.
• The Red Sox have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six games against American League opponents.

Why the Boston Red Sox will win

• The Twins have lost each of their last six night games against AL East opponents following a win.
• The Red Sox have won each of their last four games after playing the previous day.
• The Red Sox have covered the run line in each of their last nine road games against the Twins following a win.
• The Twins have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games as underdogs against the Red Sox following a win.
• The Red Sox have led after 5 innings in each of their last four games against the Twins.
• The Red Sox have won the first inning in each of their last six Monday games against opponents that held a winning record.
• The Red Sox have led after 3 innings in four of their last five games against the Twins.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Red Sox’s last five road games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Four of the Twins’ last five games have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Red Sox’s last nine games as road favorites against American League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last four games between the Red Sox and Twins at Target Field.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

• Byron Buxton has hit at least one home run in two of his last three home appearances against the Red Sox.
• Bailey Ober has recorded five or more strikeouts in 12 of his last 15 appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
• Byron Buxton has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against the Red Sox.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

• Jarren Duran has hit a home run in each of the Red Sox’s last two games against the Twins.
• Isiah Kiner-Falefa has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine road appearances against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• Wilyer Abreu ranks T7th in the league in Hits (20) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Twins rank T27th in the league for hits allowed this season (138).
• The Twins rank T5th in the league for home runs this season (17).
• The Red Sox rank 28th in the league for home runs this season (10).
• The Red Sox rank T27th in the league for steals this season (6).

Twins vs Red Sox Prediction 

Minnesota comes into this matchup after winning six of their last seven games and they have scored 7+ runs in three of their last five. The Twins are 5-2 at home this year, while the Red Sox are 3-6 on the road. Boston has won four of their last five games and they have scored 5+ in three of their last four. The Red Sox have the advantage with Crochet on the mound, but Minnesota is pounding the ball right now. Take the over here.