Twins vs Red Sox Prediction 4/14/26 MLB Picks Today

The Boston Red Sox and Minnesota Twins meet Tuesday in MLB action at Target Field. Here’s a Twins vs. Red Sox Prediction. This article will include a Twins vs. Red Sox Pick.

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

The Boston Red Sox are 6-10 on the year and play the Tigers and Yankees next. The Boston Red Sox are batting .236 on the season, have a .321 OBP, and have a .355 slugging percentage. The Boston Red Sox pitching staff has a 4.39 ERA and a 1.36 WHIP. Wilyer Abreu leads the Boston Red Sox with 22 hits and 10 RBI, while Ceddanne Rafaela and Willson Contreras have combined for 32 hits and 16 RBI.

Sonny Gray gets the ball for the Boston Red Sox, and he is 2-0 with a 2.76 ERA and 10 strikeouts this season. Gray is 3-5 with a 5.19 ERA and 46 strikeouts in his career against the Minnesota Twins.

Minnesota Twins Betting Preview

The Minnesota Twins are 10-7 on the year and play the Reds and Mets next. The Minnesota Twins are batting .230 on the season and have a .333 OBP, and a .390 slugging percentage. The Minnesota Twins pitching staff has a 4.29 ERA and a 1.42 WHIP. Josh Bell leads the Minnesota Twins with 15 hits and 14 RBI, while Luke Keaschall and Victor Caratini have combined for 27 hits and 16 RBI.

Mick Abel gets the ball for the Minnesota Twins, and he is 0-2 with a 6.08 ERA and 13 strikeouts this season. This will be Abel’s first career game against the Boston Red Sox.

Why the Minnesota Twins will win

• The Twins have won each of their last four games as home underdogs.
• The Red Sox have lost each of their last six games against American League opponents.
• The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as favorites against American League opponents.
• The Twins have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games.
• The Red Sox have lost the first inning in each of their last four games against American League opponents.
• The Red Sox have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last seven games against American League opponents.
• The Twins have led after 3 innings in each of their last five games against AL East opponents.

Why the Boston Red Sox will win

• The Twins have lost each of their last six games against AL East opponents following a home win.
• The Red Sox have won four of their last five games after playing the previous day.
• The Red Sox have covered the run line in each of their last six road games against AL Central opponents following a road loss.
• The Twins have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven games against AL East opponents following a home win.
• The Red Sox have led after 3 innings in each of their last six Tuesday games as road favorites.
• The Red Sox have led after 5 innings in four of their last five games against the Twins.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Red Sox’s last six road games after playing the previous day has gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Twins’ last four games has gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Red Sox’s last 10 games as road favorites against American League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Twins’ last four games.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

• Byron Buxton has hit at least one home run in three of his last four home appearances against the Red Sox.
• Byron Buxton has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances against the Red Sox.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

• Jarren Duran has hit a home run in each of the Red Sox’s last three games against the Twins.
• Sonny Gray has recorded seven or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight appearances in night games.
• Ceddanne Rafaela has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances with the Red Sox as favorites.
• Sonny Gray has recorded a win in each of his last six appearances with his team as a road favorite against AL opponents.
• Wilyer Abreu ranks T4th in the league in Hits (22) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Twins rank T2nd in the league for home runs this season (21).
• The Twins rank T27th in the league for hits allowed this season (148).
• The Red Sox rank 29th in the league for home runs this season (11).
• The Red Sox rank T28th in the league for steals this season (6).

Twins vs Red Sox Prediction

The Red Sox are the more talented team and should be favored with Gray on the mound. Gray looks great through 16.1 innings, posting a 2.76 ERA and 0.98 WHIP. Abel hasn’t been good through 13.1 innings with his 6.08 ERA and .210 WHIP. He also has 10 walks. Clear pitching edge for Boston. However, the Twins’ bats have woken up lately and it makes the plus money attractive regardless of the mound advantage. I’ll take a shot with the Twins and the more favorable price given the way these bats have heated up.