Twins vs Red Sox Prediction 7/29/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Twins vs Red Sox prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, July 29th at Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Minnesota Twins Betting Preview

The Minnesota Twins are 51-55 this year after they won game one by a score of 5-4 on Monday night. Minnesota trailed late in the game, but they scored two runs in the bottom of the ninth to walk off with the win. The Twins recorded eight hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Lee and Keirsey Jr., who both had two RBIs in the win. Minnesota started Woods Richardson, who allowed seven hits and three earned runs over 4.2 innings, while Duran picked up the win. 

Prior to this series, the Twins lost two out of three against the Nationals and two out of three against the Dodgers. Minnesota has lost three of its last five games, and they are currently fourth in the AL Central standings. The Minnesota pitching staff has a 4.19 ERA with a 1.26 WHIP and a .251 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 445 runs with a .241 batting average and a .313 on-base percentage this season. Byron Buxton has led Minnesota with 23 home runs and 59 RBIs, while Trevor Larnach has added 13 home runs and 43 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Minnesota is TBD. 

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

The Boston Red Sox are 57-51 this season after they dropped game one in dramatic fashion on Monday. Boston had a 3-2 lead in the fifth and a 4-3 lead in the ninth, but couldn’t hang on and ended up with the loss. The Red Sox recorded 10 hits in the game, and they were led by Bregman, who went 2-5 with one home run and three RBIs in the loss. Boston started Fitts, who allowed four hits and two earned runs over 4.0 innings, while Hicks blew the save and picked up the loss. 

Prior to this series, the Red Sox won two out of three against the Dodgers, but lost two out of three against the Phillies before that. Boston has won three of their last five games, and they are currently third in the AL East standings. The Boston pitching staff has a 3.79 ERA with a 1.30 WHIP and a .246 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 524 runs with a .252 batting average and a .322 on-base percentage this season. Wilyer Abreu has led Boston with 20 home runs and 55 RBIs, while Trevor Story has added 15 home runs and 61 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Boston is Lucas Giolito, who is 6-2 with a 3.97 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP over 81.2 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Red Sox will beat the Twins

• The Twins have lost each of their last four games following a win.
• The Red Sox have won 12 of their last 13 games as favorites after playing the previous day.
• The Red Sox have covered the run line in each of their last six games against AL Central opponents following a road loss.
• The Twins have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight home games against American League opponents following a home win.
• The Twins have trailed after 5 innings in seven of their last eight games as home underdogs against AL East opponents.
• The Twins have trailed after 3 innings in seven of their last eight games as home underdogs against AL East opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Four of the Red Sox’s last five night games against AL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Three of the Twins’ last four night games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Twins’ last eight home games.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Red Sox’s last six night games at Target Field.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

• Byron Buxton has hit at least one home run in two of his last three home appearances against the Red Sox.
• Ryan Jeffers has recorded at least one Double in six of his last seven appearances with the Twins as home underdogs.
• Byron Buxton has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against the Red Sox.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

• Alex Bregman has hit a home run in each of the Red Sox’s last three games against AL Central opponents.
• Jarren Duran has recorded at least one Double in each of the Red Sox’s last five night games against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• Jarren Duran has recorded at least one hit in each of the Red Sox’s last eight night games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Lucas Giolito has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances with the Red Sox as favorites.
• Lucas Giolito has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last eight appearances at Target Field.

Twins vs Red Sox Prediction 

Boston thought they had game one wrapped up in the ninth inning, but their bullpen fell apart and they picked up a tough loss. The Red Sox are 23-30 on the road this year, while the Twins are 30-22 at home. Minnesota hasn’t been able to string many wins together this season, and they have allowed 20 runs in their last three games. Boston is starting Gioltio in this game, who has been roughed up in his last two starts, but has been very good over the last few months. I know we aren’t sure who is on the mound for the Twins, but I really like getting Giolito at this price. Take Boston here.