Twins vs Royals Prediction 7/28/26 MLB Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Twins vs Royals prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, July 28th at Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Minnesota Twins Betting Preview

The Minnesota Twins are 53-54 this season after they won two out of three against the Athletics by scores of 0-2, 2-0, and 11-8. In game three, Minnesota had their lead cut to 8-6 in the seventh inning, but they scored the next three runs to seal the win. The Twins recorded 13 hits in the game and they were led by Jeffers, who went 3-5 with three RBIs. Prielipp allowed two hits and one earned run over 5.2 innings for the win, while Nance picked up a hold. Prior to that series, Minnesota split four games with the Guardians and lost two out of three against the Cubs. 

This season, Minnesota has a 4.67 ERA with a 1.38 WHIP and a .252 opponent batting average, while they have scored 511 runs with a .246 batting average and a .320 on base percentage. Byron Buxton has led the Twins with 25 home runs and 45 RBIs, while Josh Bell has added 13 home runs and 62 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Minnesota is Taj Bradley, who is 9-4 with a 3.69 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP over 114.2 innings pitched this season. 

Kansas City Royals Betting Preview

The Kansas City Royals are 45-62 this year after they split four games with the Tigers by scores of 3-4, 1-2, 3-2, and 5-4. In game four, Kansas City blew a 3-0 lead in the middle innings, but they scored two runs in the eighth to escape with the win. The Royals recorded six hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Massey, who went 1-2 with one home run and two RBIs. Avila allowed four hits and two earned runs over 4.1 innings, while Pearson got the win and Cruz picked up the save. Prior to that series, Kansas City swept the Giants in three games and won two out of three against the Padres. 

This season, Kansas City has a 4.85 ERA with a 1.43 WHIP and a .262 opponent batting average, while they have scored 450 runs with a .246 batting average and a .315 on base percentage. Carter Jensen has led the Royals with 14 home runs and 52 RBIs, while Bobby Witt has added 13 home runs and 39 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Kansas City is Seth Lugo, who is 4-6 with a 4.36 ERA and a 1.37 WHIP over 117.2 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Minnesota Twins will win

• The Royals have lost each of their last nine night games against American League opponents.
• The Twins have won seven of their last eight night games against AL Central opponents following a home win.
• The Royals have failed to cover the run line in 11 of their last 12 games as road underdogs against the Twins following a win.
• The Twins have covered the run line in four of their last five games.
• The Royals have trailed after 5 innings in eight of their last nine night games against American League opponents.
• The Royals have trailed after 3 innings in eight of their last nine night games against American League opponents.

Why the Kansas City Royals will win

• The Twins have lost four of their last five games as favorites against AL Central opponents following a win.
• The Royals have won four of their last five games as underdogs following a win.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Royals’ last 10 games.
• The Twins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games as favorites against AL Central opponents following a home win.
• The Twins have lost the first inning in four of their last five games as favorites against AL Central opponents.
• The Royals have led after 5 innings in five of their last six night games against the Twins.
• The Royals have led after 3 innings in five of their last six night games against the Twins.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Royals’ last six night games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Six of the Twins’ last seven home games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in 13 of the Royals’ last 15 night games at Target Field.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Twins’ last four home games against AL Central opponents.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

• Kody Clemens has hit at least one home run in each of his last five appearances against the Royals after not playing the previous day.
• Taj Bradley has recorded seven or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
• Taj Bradley has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances against AL opponents.
• Victor Caratini has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 home appearances against AL Central opponents.

Kansas City Royals Player Prop Facts

• Carter Jensen has hit a home run in two of his last three road appearances after not playing the previous day.
• Seth Lugo has recorded five or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances with the Royals as road underdogs against AL opponents.
• Michael Massey has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.

Twins vs Royals Prediction 

Minnesota comes into this matchup after winning four of their last five games and they have allowed two runs or fewer in three of their last four. The Twins are 28-26 at home this year, while the Royals are 19-35 on the road. Kansas City has won three of their last five games, but they are 11 games back in the AL Central. The Royals are starting Lugo, who has allowed 3, 1, 2, 6, and 3 earned runs in his last five outings, while Bradley has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. Take the Twins here.