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Twins vs Tigers Prediction 4/11/25 MLB Picks Today

Detroit Tigers (7-5) vs. Minnesota Twins (4-9)
April 11, 2025 8:10 pm EDT
The Line: Minnesota Twins -115 / Detroit Tigers -105; Over/Under: 8
(Get latest betting odds)

The Detroit Tigers and the Minnesota Twins meet on Friday in MLB action from Target Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Twins vs Tigers Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Detroit Tigers will send out Reese Olson for the start in this one, and Olson is 1-1 with a 5.06 ERA and 10 strikeouts this season. In his career, Olson is 2-1 with a 3.32 ERA and 24 strikeouts against Minnesota. The Minnesota Twins will send out David Festa for the start here. Festa was 2-6 with a 4.90 ERA and 77 strikeouts last season. This will be Festa’s second career start against the Tigers.

Detroit Tigers Recap

The Detroit Tigers come into this series looking to build on their series win over the Yankees despite ending the set with a 4-3 loss at the hands of the New York Yankees to fall to 7-5 on the year. After this series, the Tigers will head on the road for an interleague series against the Milwaukee Brewers.

Tigers Have Five-Game Win Streak Snapped

Riley Greene has a team-high 14 hits, including 4 doubles, 3 home runs, and 5 RBIs, along with a team-high 19 strikeouts, while Kerry Carpenter has a team-high 4 home runs and a team-high 9 RBIs as well on the year. Spencer Torkelson added 14 hits with 5 doubles, 3 home runs, and 7 RBIs but also has 16 strikeouts so far this season. Trey Sweeney also has 8 hits with a double, a triple, and a home run and 5 RBIs.

Why the Detroit Tigers will win

  • The Tigers have won each of their last seven games as road underdogs against American League opponents following a home loss.
  • The Twins have lost each of their last six games as home favorites after playing the previous day.
  • The Tigers have covered the run line in each of their last 10 games as road underdogs against American League opponents following a loss.
  • The Twins have failed to cover the run line each of their last seven home games against teams that held a winning record.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts

  • Kerry Carpenter has hit at least one home run in three of the Tigers’ last four games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
  • Riley Greene has recorded a Double in each of the Tigers’ last four night games against AL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Riley Greene has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Tigers’ last six night games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Kerry Carpenter has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 10 road appearances against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
  • Parker Meadows has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances in night games.
  • Gleyber Torres has scored at least one run in each of his last six appearances against the Twins after not playing the previous day.

Minnesota Twins Recap

The Minnesota Twins come into this series fresh off of another disappointing result, thanks to a 3-2 loss at the hands of the Kansas City Royals in Thursday’s series finale. After this set, the Twins will welcome the Mets to town for an interleague series.

Twins Looking To Snap Out Of Funk

Ty France has a team-high 12 hits, and Matt Wallner has 11 hits, with Wallner logging 4 doubles while France has 3 doubles. Harrison Bader added 9 hits with a team-high 3 home runs and 10 RBIs, while Willi Castro had a team-high 5 doubles, and Carlos Correa had 4 doubles as well. Byron Buxton has a pair of doubles and a pair of stolen bases but also has a team-high 16 strikeouts so far this season.

Why the Minnesota Twins will win

  • The Twins have won seven of their last eight home games against AL Central opponents following a loss.
  • The Tigers have lost six of their last seven games against AL Central opponents following a home loss.
  • The Twins have covered the run line in each of their last four night games against AL Central opponents following a road loss.
  • The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven games against AL Central opponents following a home loss.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

  • Ty France has hit a home run in each of the Twins’ last two games against AL Central opponents.
  • Byron Buxton has recorded a Double in four of his last five home appearances against the Tigers.
  • Ty France has recorded an RBI in four of his last five appearances at Target Field against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Ty France has scored at least one run in each of the Twins’ last six games against AL Central opponents.
  • Christian Vazquez has recorded at least one Single in each of his last four appearances against the Tigers.
  • Christian Vazquez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances with the Twins as home favorites against AL Central opponents.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Twins’ last four games against AL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Five of the Tigers’ last six night games as underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.

Twins vs Tigers Prediction

I’m on the Tigers in this one. I just think that the Tigers are the team in better form right now, and I’m done giving the Twins the benefit of the doubt early on this season. The offense is inconsistent and hasn’t been able to drum anything up early on this season. The Tigers are playing with confidence right now and have been demolishing right-handed pitching as of late. I think Olson gives the Tigers the edge in starting pitching, and the bullpen’s playing better as well as of late. Give me Detroit in this one.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick: Detroit Tigers -105

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Chris Ruffolo

Chris joined the Sports Chat Place team in August 2016 and has a proven system that combines multiple analytical and situational statistics and trends to give out thousands of winning picks over the last three years with winning records across all of the top leagues, Follow Chris Ruffolo on Twitter @ruffthepickdawg

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