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Twins vs Tigers Prediction 4/12/25 MLB Picks Today

Detroit Tigers (8-5) vs. Minnesota Twins (4-10)
April 12, 2025 2:10 pm EDT
The Line: Minnesota Twins -118 / Detroit Tigers -102; Over/Under: 8.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Detroit Tigers and the Minnesota Twins meet Saturday in MLB action from Target Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Twins vs Tigers Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Detroit Tigers will send out Jackson Jobe for the start here and Jobe is 0-0 with a 5.00 ERA and 7 strikeouts this season. This will be Jobe’s first career start against the Twins. The Minnesota Twins will send out Chris Paddack for the start in this one and Paddack is 0-1 with a 14.73 ERA and 4 strikeouts this season. This will be Paddack’s second career start against the Tigers.


Detroit Tigers Recap

The Detroit Tigers come into this game looking to win the series after starting the series with a 7-6 win over the Twins on Friday. After this series, the Tigers will head on the road for an interleague series against the Milwaukee Brewers.

Tigers Win 8 Of Their Last 10

Riley Greene has a team-high 14 hits including 4 doubles, 3 home runs and 5 RBIs along with a team-high 20 strikeouts while Kerry Carpenter has a team-high 4 home runs and a team-high 9 RBIs as well on the year. Spencer Torkelson’s added 14 hits with 5 doubles, 3 home runs and 7 RBIs but also has 17 strikeouts so far this season. Trey Sweeney also has 9 hits with 2 doubles, a triple and a home run and 7 RBIs. Dillon Dingler has 2 home runs and 8 RBIs and Zack McKinstry’s added a pair of triples, a home run and 8 RBIs of his own along with 14 hits as well this season.

Why the Detroit Tigers will win

  • The Twins have lost each of their last seven games as home favorites after playing the previous day.
  • The underdogs have won seven of the Twins’ last eight games at Target Field.
  • The Twins have failed to cover the run line each of their last eight home games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Tigers have covered the run line each of their last eight road games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts

  • Kerry Carpenter has hit at least one home run in three of the Tigers’ last four day games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
  • Zach McKinstry has recorded at least one Single in each of his last eight appearances.
  • Gleyber Torres has recorded at least one Double in each of his last three appearances against the Twins after playing the previous day.
  • Gleyber Torres has scored at least one run in each of his last nine road appearances against the Twins after playing the previous day.
  • Parker Meadows has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last six road appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Gleyber Torres has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances against opponents that held a losing record.

Minnesota Twins Recap

The Minnesota Twins come into this game looking to bounce back after starting the series on the wrong foot with their loss in Friday’s series opener. After this set, the Twins will welcome the Mets to town for an interleague series.

Twins Still Mired In Funk

Ty France has a team-high 15 hits and Matt Wallner has 11 hits with Wallner logging 4 doubles while France has 3 doubles. Harrison Bader’s added 9 hits with a team-high 3 home runs and 10 RBIs while Willi Castro has a team-high 5 doubles and Carlos Correa has 4 doubles as well on the year. Byron Buxton has a pair of doubles and 3 stolen bases, but also has a team-high 17 strikeouts so far this season.

Why the Minnesota Twins will win

  • The Tigers have lost each of their last six games against the Twins following a win.
  • The Twins have won eight of their last nine games against the Tigers following a home loss.
  • The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games against the Twins following a win.
  • The Twins have covered the run line in each of their last five Saturday day games as favorites against American League opponents.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

  • Byron Buxton has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances with the Twins as favorites against AL Central opponents.
  • Christian Vazquez has recorded at least one Single in each of his last five appearances against the Tigers.
  • Byron Buxton has scored at least one run in each of his last six appearances with the Twins as favorites.
  • Ty France has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four home appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Christian Vazquez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances with the Twins as home favorites against AL Central opponents.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the last four games between the Tigers and Twins at Target Field have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Six of the Tigers’ last seven games as underdogs against the Twins have gone OVER the total runs line.

Twins vs Tigers Prediction

I’m on the Tigers in this one. I get the case to be made for the Twins, and I’m not overreacting to two starts so far this season, but Chris Paddack has been dreadful in limited action so far. I just can’t get there with him at this price. Sure, Jackson Jobe hasn’t been anything special in his own right, but the Tigers are still playing the better baseball right now, and I think they get another road win here. Give me Detroit.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick: Detroit Tigers -102

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Chris Ruffolo

Chris joined the Sports Chat Place team in August 2016 and has a proven system that combines multiple analytical and situational statistics and trends to give out thousands of winning picks over the last three years with winning records across all of the top leagues, Follow Chris Ruffolo on Twitter @ruffthepickdawg

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