
Twins vs Tigers Prediction 8/16/25 MLB Picks Today
Detroit Tigers (72-52) vs. Minnesota Twins (57-65)
August 16, 2025 7:15 pm EDT
The Line: Minnesota Twins -106 / Detroit Tigers -114; Over/Under: 8.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Detroit Tigers and Minnesota Twins meet Saturday in MLB action at Target Field. Here’s a Twins vs Tigers Prediction. This article will include a Twins vs Tigers Pick.
Detroit Tigers Betting Preview
The Detroit Tigers are 72-52 on the year and play the Astros, Royals, and Athletics next. The Detroit Tigers are batting .249 on the season, have a .316 OBP, and a .421 slugging percentage. The Detroit Tigers pitching staff has a 3.80 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP. Riley Greene leads the Detroit Tigers with 124 hits and 89 RBI, while Gleyber Torres and Spencer Torkelson have combined for 209 hits and 124 RBI.
Casey Mize gets the ball for the Detroit Tigers, and he is 11-4 with a 3.50 ERA and 93 strikeouts this season. Mize is 3-4 with a 4.86 ERA and 39 strikeouts in his career against the Minnesota Twins.
Minnesota Twins Betting Preview
The Minnesota Twins are 57-65 on the year and play the Athletics, White Sox, and Blue Jays next. The Minnesota Twins are batting .238 on the season, have a .309 OBP, and a .395 slugging percentage. The Minnesota Twins pitching staff has a 4.25 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP. Byron Buxton leads the Minnesota Twins with 96 hits and 60 RBI while Trevor Larnach and Brooks Lee have combined for 181 hits and 93 RBI.
Zebby Matthews gets the ball for the Minnesota Twins, and he is 3-4 with a 5.11 ERA and 57 strikeouts this season. This will be Matthews’ second career game against the Detroit Tigers.
Why the Minnesota Twins will win
- The Twins have won three of their last four games as home underdogs following a home loss.
- The Tigers have lost four of their last five Saturday games as road favorites.
- The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine road games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Twins have covered the run line in five of their last six games as underdogs against AL Central opponents following a loss.
- The Twins have led after 3 innings in three of their last four night games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- The Twins have led after 5 innings in three of their last four games against the Tigers.
Why the Detroit Tigers will win
- The Tigers have won each of their last 10 games as favorites against the Twins following a road win.
- The Twins have lost each of their last four home games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Tigers have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 games as favorites against the Twins following a road win.
- The Twins have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as home underdogs against the Tigers following a loss.
- The Twins have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Twins have trailed after 5 innings in six of their last seven home games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts
- Ryan Jeffers has recorded at least one hit in 11 of his last 12 home appearances.
- James Outman has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
- Byron Buxton ranks 5th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.555) this season.
Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts
- Riley Greene has hit a home run in three of his last five appearances against the Twins after playing the previous day.
- Casey Mize has recorded five or more strikeouts in three of his last four road appearances.
- Colt Keith has recorded at least one hit in each of the Tigers’ last eight games against the Twins.
- Javier Baez has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances at Target Field against opponents that held a losing record.
- Casey Mize has recorded a win in each of his last four appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
- Casey Mize ranks T8th in the league for Wins (11) this season.
Twins vs Tigers Prediction
The Twins are having a rough week and Matthews is unlikely going to turn things around. Matthews has a 5.11 ERA and 1.36 WHIP on the season, and he’s allowed 14 runs in his last 25 innings. No, thanks. Mize is an all-star with a 3.50 ERA and 1.27 WHIP, and he has a hotter, more consistent lineup to back him up. I’m not excited at all to get behind the slumping Twins. Give me the Tigers and the cheap price.