Twins vs Tigers Prediction 8/17/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Twins vs Tigers prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, August 17th at Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Minnesota Twins Betting Preview

The Minnesota Twins are 57-66 this year after they lost the first three games in this series by scores of 3-4, 0-7, and 5-8. In their game three loss, Minnesota led 3-2 in the fifth inning, but their pitching staff fell apart after that for the loss. The Twins recorded eight hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Lee, who went 1-4 with three RBIs in the loss. Minnesota started Matthews, who allowed five hits and two earned runs over 4.0 innings, while Kriske picked up the loss in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Twins lost two out of three against the Yankees, but did win two out of three against the Royals before that. Minnesota has lost five of their last six games and they are currently fourth in the AL Central standings. The Minnesota pitching staff has a 4.27 ERA with a 1.29 WHIP and a .254 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 509 runs with a .238 batting average and a .309 on base percentage this season. Byron Buxton has led Minnesota with 24 home runs and 60 RBIs, while Trevor Larnach has added 16 home runs and 49 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Minnesota is TBD.

Detroit Tigers Betting Preview

The Detroit Tigers are 73-52 this season after they won game three by a score of 8-5 on Saturday night. Detroit blew an early 2-0 lead, but they scored three in the seventh and two in the ninth to seal the victory. The Tigers recorded 12 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Jones, who went 2-2 with two RBIs in the win. Detroit started Mize, who allowed four hits and four earned runs over 6.1 innings for the win, while Finnegan picked up the save. 

Prior to this series, the Tigers won two out of three against the White Sox and two out of three against the Angels. Detroit has won six of their last seven games and they are currently first in the AL Central standings. The Detroit pitching staff has a 3.80 ERA with a 1.22 WHIP and a .238 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 603 runs with a .250 batting average and a .318 on base percentage this season. Riley Greene has led Detroit with 28 home runs and 90 RBIs, while Spencer Torkelson has added 26 home runs and 67 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Detroit is Chris Paddack, who is 4-10 with a 4.76 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP over 126.2 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Twins will beat the Tigers

• The Twins have won six of their last seven day games against the Tigers following a home loss.
• The Tigers have lost five of their last six day games against the Twins following a road win.
• The Twins have covered the run line in each of their last four day games against American League opponents.
• The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in 12 of their last 15 road games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Twins have led after 5 innings in four of their last five games against the Tigers.

Why the Tigers will beat the Twins

• The Tigers have won eight of their last nine road games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• The Twins have lost each of their last five home games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Tigers have covered the run line in 12 of their last 13 Sunday day road games.
• The Twins have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five home games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Twins have lost the first inning in three of their last four games against AL Central opponents.
• The Twins have trailed after 3 innings in six of their last seven games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Twins have trailed after 5 innings in six of their last eight home games against American League opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the Tigers’ last eight day games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Six of the Twins’ last seven day games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in nine of the Tigers’ last 10 day games against AL Central opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last four day games between the Tigers and Twins at Target Field.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

• Trevor Larnach has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances in day games against AL teams that held a winning record.
• James Outman has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances in day games against AL teams that held a winning record.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts

• Kerry Carpenter has hit a home run in four of his last five appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
• Javier Baez has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances at Target Field against opponents that held a losing record.
• Chris Paddack has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his three previous appearances at Target Field against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• Colt Keith has recorded at least one hit in each of the Tigers’ last nine games against the Twins.

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Twins vs Tigers Prediction

Detroit was able to get another win in this series on Saturday night and they have won three series in a row. The Tigers are 34-28 on the road this year, while the Twins are 32-28 at home. Minnesota’s pitching staff has allowed at least seven runs in three of their last five games, but they have not announced a starter for this game yet. Detroit is going with Paddack, who has allowed 1, 4, and 1 earned run in three outings with the Tigers. Paddack did allow four earned runs to this Twins team on August 5th and they know him very well, so I think we will see some scoring. Take the over here.