Washington Nationals (34-51) vs Cincinnati Reds (47-39)
2023-07-05 19:05:00 EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Washington Nationals +100 / Cincinnati Reds -120 --- Over/Under: 9.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Cincinnati Reds and the Washington Nationals meet in MLB action from Nationals Park on Wednesday. Let’s dive into the odds, starting pitching matchup, history and make a prediction for this game.
Odds
Cincinnati is listed as a -120 road favorite while Washington is a +100 home underdog. The total for this game is set at 9.5 runs.
Starting Pitching Matchup
Graham Ashcraft will start for the Reds here and is 3-6 with a 6.66 ERA and 59 strikeouts this season. Josiah Gray will start for the Nationals here and is 6-6 with a 3.30 ERA and 86 strikeouts this season.
Matchup History
Cincinnati’s 8-4 win over the Nationals on Tuesday made it back-to-back wins and four wins in the last five head-to-head meetings for the Reds in this matchup.
Trends
Cincinnati is 21-6 in their last 27 games overall and 17-4 in their last 21 road games against a team with a right-handed starter while the over is 6-1 in their last 7 games following a win. Washington is 1-4 in their last 5 games against the NL Central and 12-45 in their last 57 games against a team with a winning record while the under is 3-1-1 in their last 5 games overall.
Pick
I’m backing the Reds here. I have been a big naysayer of Graham Ashcraft for much of the year, but I’m liking him in this spot. The Nationals haven’t been all that explosive offensively and Ashcraft’s been a lot better on the road, where his ERA is three runs lower than his ERA at hitter-friendly Great American. Josiah Gray has done a great job at keeping the Nationals in the game in his starts, but he’s struggled at home once again this season and the Reds are simply swinging a hot bat and should be able to get to him here. Give me the Reds.
