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Washington Nationals vs Miami Marlins Prediction 6-14-24 Picks

Miami Marlins (23-45) vs. Washington Nationals (32-36)
June 14, 2024 6:45 pm EDT
The Line: Washington Nationals / Miami Marlins ; Over/Under: -
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In this article we will formulate a Washington Nationals vs Miami Marlins prediction for this MLB game on Friday, June 14th at Nationals Park in Washington, DC. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game one in the series. 

Nationals are Red Hot 

The Washington Nationals are 32-36 this season and they have won five of their last six games. Washington is coming off of a series win against Detroit, where they won two out of three games and scored 14 runs in the series. Prior to that series, the Nationals won three out of four against the Braves, lost all three against the Mets, and lost two out of three against the Guardians. Washington has played very well in their last two series and they are third in the NL East, 14 games behind Philadelphia. 

The Washington pitching staff has a 3.98 ERA, a 1.29 WHIP, and a .254 opponent batting average. The Nationals offense has scored 274 runs with a .232 batting average and a .304 on base percentage. CJ Abrams is batting .249 with 11 home runs and 34 RBI’s for the Nationals this season. Washington is 23rd in the MLB in runs scored this year, but they have scored at least five runs in four of their last five games. 

Marlins Searching for More Offense

The Miami Marlins are 23-45 this year and they have lost four of their last five games. Miami is coming off of a series loss against the Mets, where they lost two out of three games and allowed 15 runs. Prior to that series, the Marlins lost two out of three against the Guardians, lost both games against the Rays, and lost two out of three against the Rangers. Miami is just 4-10 in their last 14 games and they are dead last in the NL East. 

The Miami pitching staff has a 4.67 ERA, a 1.37 WHIP, and a .253 opponent batting average. The Marlins offense has scored 243 runs with a .234 batting average and a .286 on base percentage. Josh Bell is batting .242 with seven home runs and 31 RBI’s for the Marlins this season. Miami is 29th in runs scored this season and they have scored three runs or fewer in seven of their last ten games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Washington is MacKenzie Gore, who is 5-5 with a 3.57 ERA and a 1.37 WHIP over 68.0 innings pitched this year. Gore has allowed one earned run in three of his last four starts, but did allow six earned runs and seven hits over 4.1 innings against the Mets two starts ago. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Max Meyer, who is 2-0 with a 2.12 ERA and a 0.82 WHIP over 17.0 innings pitched this season. Meyer is coming off of the IL and has not pitched in the MLB since April 13th. 

Why the Washington Nationals will win

The Marlins have lost each of their last nine night games against National League opponents following a road loss.
The Nationals have won each of their last four games against the Marlins.
The Nationals have covered the run line in eight of their last nine night games following a road loss.
The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games against the Nationals following a loss.

Total Runs Facts

Six of the last seven games between the Marlins and Nationals have gone OVER the total runs line.
Six of the Marlins’ last seven night games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Nationals’ last eight night games against National League opponents.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Marlins’ last four games at Nationals Park.

Washington Nationals vs Miami Marlins Prediction 

Washington comes into this series after playing very well against Detroit and Atlanta, but they are just 13-17 at home this year. The Nationals offense has been an issue this season, but they have hit very well over the last week. Miami is just 11-20 on the road and they have been one of the worst teams in baseball. MacKenzie Gore is starting for Washington, and he has been very good in eight of his last nine outings. Miami’s lineup is below average and I think Gore is set to have another great outing. My Washington Nationals vs Miami Marlins prediction is for the Nationals to win by at least two runs. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Nationals -1.5

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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