Nationals vs Phillies Prediction 8/15/25 MLB Picks Today

The Philadelphia Phillies and the Washington Nationals meet Friday in MLB action from Nationals Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Nationals vs Phillies Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Philadelphia Phillies will send out Zack Wheeler here and Wheeler is 10-5 with a 2.68 ERA and 189 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Nationals, Wheeler is 2-0 with a 2.23 ERA and 38 strikeouts. MacKenzie Gore will get the nod for the Nationals here and is 5-12 with a 4.09 ERA and 158 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against Philadelphia, Gore is 0-1 with a 3.00 ERA and 37 strikeouts.

Philadelphia Phillies Recap

The Philadelphia Phillies come into this game looking to bounce back from their 3-2 loss at the hands of the Nationals in Thursday’s opener to slip to 69-52 this season. After this series, the Phillies will head home for a series against the Seattle Mariners.

Phillies Lose 3 In A Row

Nick Castellanos has 115 hits with 23 doubles including 15 home runs and 60 RBIs while Kyle Schwarber has 112 hits with a team-high 42 home runs and 98 RBIs but also has a team-high 148 strikeouts as well on the year. Bryce Harper has 10 stolen bases, 27 doubles, 18 home runs and 51 RBIs. Trea Turner also has 140 hits with 4 triples, 12 home runs, 52 RBIs and a team-high 26 stolen bases. Max Kepler has 16 doubles and Bryson Stott has 15 doubles, 3 triples, 7 homers and 47 RBIs while Stott also has 19 stolen bases as well this season.

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

• The Nationals have lost each of their last seven Friday games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Phillies have won five of their last six games against NL East opponents following a loss.
• The Phillies have covered the run line in five of their last six games against NL East opponents following a loss.
• The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five home games against teams that held a winning record.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Zack Wheeler has recorded a win in seven of his last eight Friday appearances against teams that held a losing record.
• Alec Bohm has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 17 appearances in night games against NL teams that held a losing record.
• Max Kepler has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances against the Nationals after playing the previous day.
• Brandon Marsh has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Trea Turner ranks 2nd in the league in Hits (140) this season.

Washington Nationals Recap

The Washington Nationals come into this game looking to add on to their win over the Phillies on Thursday to sit at 49-72 on the year. After this series, the Nationals will head home for a series against the New York Mets.

Nationals Win 4 Of Their Last 6 Games

Keibert Ruiz has 63 hits with 12 doubles and a pair of home runs with 25 RBIs while James Wood has 118 hits with 26 doubles and a team-high 25 home runs along with 78 RBIs and 15 stolen bases while also putting up 156 strikeouts. Nathaniel Lowe has 95 hits with 17 doubles and 68 RBIs along with 16 home runs and 130 strikeouts. CJ Abrams has 16 home runs and 47 RBIs along with 25 doubles and 26 stolen bases while Luis Garcia Jr. has 23 doubles and 9 stolen bases of his own this season.

Why the Washington Nationals will win

• The underdogs have won each of the Phillies’ last four games.
• The Phillies have lost five of their last six games as favorites against National League opponents.
• The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as favorites against National League opponents.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Phillies’ last four games.

Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts

• MacKenzie Gore has recorded seven or more strikeouts in five of his last six home appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Paul DeJong has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Keibert Ruiz has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances against the Phillies.
• MacKenzie Gore ranks T9th in the league for total Strikeouts (158) this season.

Total Runs Facts

• Nine of the Phillies’ last 10 night games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Five of the Nationals’ last six games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.

Nationals vs Phillies Prediction

I’m on the Phillies here. I just think that the Phillies are the better team here, with an edge in starting pitching. Gore has been solid, but has a tendency to get hit fairly hard, and I just think the Phillies get to him a lot easier than the Nationals get to Wheeler. I think Philly draws first blood, so give me the Phillies here.