Nationals vs Phillies Prediction 8/17/25 MLB Picks Today

The Philadelphia Phillies and the Washington Nationals meet Sunday in MLB action from Nationals Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Nationals vs Phillies Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Philadelphia Phillies will send out Aaron Nola for the start here and Nola is 1-7 with a 6.16 ERA and 52 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against Washington, Nola is 3-1 with a 3.03 ERA and 28 strikeouts. Mitchell Parker will get the nod for Washington here and is 7-13 with a 5.55 ERA and 84 strikeouts this season. In his career, Parker is 1-1 with an 8.68 ERA and 11 strikeouts against the Phillies.

Philadelphia Phillies Recap

The Philadelphia Phillies come into this game looking to rebound from a 2-0 loss at the hands of the Nationals on Saturday to drop to 70-53 this season. After this series, the Phillies will travel home for a series against the Seattle Mariners.

Phillies Drop 4^th In Their Last 5 Games

Nick Castellanos has 115 hits with 23 doubles including 15 home runs and 60 RBIs while Kyle Schwarber has 112 hits with a team-high 42 home runs and 98 RBIs but also has a team-high 148 strikeouts as well on the year. Bryce Harper has 10 stolen bases, 27 doubles, 18 home runs and 51 RBIs. Trea Turner also has 140 hits with 4 triples, 12 home runs, 52 RBIs and a team-high 26 stolen bases. Max Kepler has 16 doubles and Bryson Stott has 15 doubles, 3 triples, 7 homers and 47 RBIs while Stott also has 19 stolen bases as well this season.

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

• • The Nationals have lost each of their last nine day games following a home win.
  • The Phillies have won eight of their last nine day games against the Nationals following a loss.
  • The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six day games at Nationals Park following a win.
  • The Phillies have covered the run line in eight of their last nine day games against the Nationals following a loss.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Kyle Schwarber has hit a home run in three of his last five appearances against former teams.
• Aaron Nola has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last seven road appearances against NL opponents.
• J.T. Realmuto has recorded a Double in six of his last eight appearances in day games.
• J.T. Realmuto has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances in day games.
• Trea Turner ranks 2nd in the league in Hits (145) this season.

Washington Nationals Recap

The Washington Nationals come into this game looking to add on to their win over the Phillies on Saturday to improve to 50-73 this season. After this series, the Nationals will welcome the New York Mets to town for a division series.

Nationals Looking For Series Win

Keibert Ruiz has 63 hits with 12 doubles and a pair of home runs with 25 RBIs while James Wood has 118 hits with 26 doubles and a team-high 25 home runs along with 78 RBIs and 15 stolen bases while also putting up 156 strikeouts. Nathaniel Lowe has 95 hits with 17 doubles and 68 RBIs along with 16 home runs and 130 strikeouts. CJ Abrams has 16 home runs and 47 RBIs along with 25 doubles and 26 stolen bases while Luis Garcia Jr. has 23 doubles and 9 stolen bases of his own this season.

Why the Washington Nationals will win

• The underdogs have won five of the Phillies’ last six games.
• The Phillies have lost four of their last five games as favorites.
• The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as favorites against National League opponents.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in five of the Phillies’ last six games.

Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts

• Keibert Ruiz has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances against the Phillies.
• Paul DeJong has hit a home run in three of his last five appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Nationals’ last five day games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Eight of the Phillies’ last 10 games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.

Nationals vs Phillies Prediction

I’m on the over in this one. I think Parker gets roughed up once again, as has been the story for much of his season to this point. Even though Nola’s coming back from injury, he hasn’t been very good for much of the season either and has been prone to giving up home runs himself. Give me the over in this one.