Washington Nationals vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction 9-27-24 MLB Picks

The Philadelphia Phillies and the Washington Nationals meet Friday in MLB action from Nationals Park. Here’s a Washington Nationals vs Philadelphia Phillies prediction. This will be the first installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Nationals vs Phillies pick.

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

Philly is fresh off a series versus the Chicago Cubs. The Phillies split the first pair 6-2 (win) and 10-4 (loss). In the rubber match Philadelphia powered out the win 9-6. The Phillies notched 13 team hits in that one, scoring three runs in both the first and fifth innings.

As a starter for Friday, the Phillies will go with Ranger Suarez. So far Suarez is 12-7 with a 3.15 ERA in 26 starts. Suarez is 41-28 with a 3.35 ERA in 160 career games (90 starts).

Washington Nationals Betting Preview

Over on the Nationals’ side, they played the Kansas City Royals this week. Washington lost 1-0 in the opener, then on Wednesday took another shutout loss 3-0. In game three the Nats took a 7-4 loss. Washington had the game tied 4-4 for several innings but coughed up three runs in the top of the ninth.

In the starter slot Friday Washington is going with Trevor Williams. So far Williams is 5-1 with a 2.19 ERA in 12 starts. Across 201 career games (160 starts) Williams is 49-55 with a 4.33 ERA.

Total Runs Facts

• Six of the Phillies’ last seven road games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Five of the Nationals’ last six games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Phillies’ last nine road games against NL East opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last seven games between the Phillies and Nationals at Nationals Park.

Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts

• Jacob Young has recorded a single in each of the Nationals’ last seven Friday night games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Trevor Williams has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his last five home appearances.
• Keibert Ruiz has recorded a Double in three of his last four home appearances against NL East opponents.
• Luis Garcia has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 11 Friday appearances against teams that held a winning record.
• Keibert Ruiz has hit at least one home run in two of his last three appearances against the Phillies.
• Luis Garcia has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 Friday appearances against teams that held a winning record.
• Trevor Williams has recorded a win in each of his last four appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
• Keibert Ruiz has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five appearances against the Phillies.
• Luis Garcia has scored at least one run in each of his last 11 Friday appearances against teams that held a winning record.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Ranger Suarez has recorded a win in seven of his last eight appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a losing record.
• Nick Castellanos has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Phillies’ last five games against the Nationals.
• Trea Turner has scored at least one run in eight of the Phillies’ last nine night games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Ranger Suarez has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last six Friday appearances.
• Trea Turner has recorded a Double in four of the Phillies’ last five night games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• J.T. Realmuto has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 15 appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a losing record.
• Kyle Schwarber has hit at least one home run in four of his last five appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
• J.T. Realmuto has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 17 appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a losing record.
• J.T. Realmuto has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 17 appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a losing record.

Washington Nationals vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction

I’ll lean toward the Phillies. Probably staying away, though. Suarez is just 0-1 in his last three starts with nine earned runs combined across 15.1 innings on 21 hits and eight walks. Suarez should be able to handle the Nationals batters if he’s on point, though.

This week Philadelphia scored pretty well against the Cubs (19 runs in three games). That said, the Phillies also gave up a combined 16 runs over the last two outings. If the Philadelphia pen can keep things under control here the team should be in line for a win, though.