Miami Marlins (14-23) vs. Chicago White Sox (11-28)
May 10, 2025 7:10 pm EDT
The Line: Chicago White Sox -110 / Miami Marlins -110; Over/Under: 8
(Get latest betting odds)
The Miami Marlins and the Chicago White Sox meet Saturday in MLB action from Rate Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a White Sox vs Marlins Prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Miami Marlins will send out Edward Cabrera for the start here and Cabrera is 0-1 with a 6.29 ERA and 24 strikeouts this season. This will be Cabrera’s second career start against the White Sox. Shane Smith will get the start for the White Sox and is 1-2 with a 2.41 ERA and 31 strikeouts this season. This will be Smith’s first career start against Miami.
Miami Marlins Recap
The Miami Marlins come into this game looking to bounce back from a 6-2 series-opening loss at the hands of the White Sox on Friday to fall to 14-23 on the year. After this series, the Marlins will head on the road for a series against the Chicago Cubs.
Marlins Lose 9 Of Their Last 11 Games
Xavier Edwards leads the Marlins with 37 hits including 3 doubles and a team-high 9 stolen bases while Eric Wagaman has 29 hits with 7 doubles. Otto Lopez has 25 hits with 5 doubles and a pair of home runs with 11 RBIs and Matt Mervis has a team-high 7 home runs and 14 RBIs so far this year. Kyle Stowers has 36 hits with 4 doubles, a triple, 6 home runs and 25 RBIs but also has 40 strikeouts while Mervis has 40 K’s as well so far this season.
Why the Miami Marlins will win
- The White Sox have lost each of their last eight night games against NL East opponents following a win.
- The Marlins have won seven of their last eight road games against AL Central opponents following a loss.
- The Marlins have covered the run line in seven of their last eight road games against AL Central opponents following a loss.
- The White Sox have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight night games against NL East opponents following a home win.
Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
- Jesus Sanchez has hit a home run in six of his last 28 appearances with the Marlins against AL opponents.
- Edward Cabrera has recorded a win in three of his four previous appearances in night games against AL teams that held a losing record.
- Jesus Sanchez has recorded an RBI in each of the Marlins’ last three games.
- Edward Cabrera has recorded seven or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Otto Lopez has recorded at least one Single in each of his last seven appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
- Xavier Edwards ranks T8th in the league in Steals (10) this season.
Chicago White Sox Recap
The Chicago White Sox will be out to pick up another W after their triumph over the Marlins from Friday’s matchup to improve to 11-28 on the year. After this series, the White Sox will head on the road for an interleague series against the Cincinnati Reds.
White Sox Snap Four-Game Losing Skid
Lenyn Sosa leads the White Sox with 32 hits including 5 doubles and 10 RBIs. Andrew Benintendi has 19 hits including 5 home runs, 12 RBIs and a .224 batting average while Miguel Vargas has a team-high 8 doubles and 12 RBIs. Brooks Baldwin has also added 15 RBIs while Luis Robert Jr. has a team-high 15 stolen bases so far this season. Andrew Vaughn has 3 home runs and 14 RBIs as well this season.
Why the Chicago White Sox will win
- The Marlins have lost each of their last six road games.
- The home team has won each of the White Sox’s last six games.
- The White Sox have covered the run line each of their last four night games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five night games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
Chicago White Sox Player Prop Facts
- Michael A. Taylor has recorded an RBI in each of his last four appearances against the Marlins.
- Michael A. Taylor has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances against the Marlins after playing the previous day.
- Andrew Benintendi has hit at least one home run in three of his last four appearances at Rate Field against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Josh Rojas has recorded at least one Single in each of his last four appearances in night games.
- Luis Robert ranks T1st in the league in Steals (15) this season.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Marlins’ last 10 road games have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the White Sox’s last four home games have gone OVER the total runs line.
White Sox vs Marlins Prediction
I’m on the under here. The White Sox have arguably their best starter going here in Shane Smith, who you could make a case for as the brightest spot of the White Sox’s season so far. On the other side, I think Edward Cabrera is a better starter than his ERA and record would indicate. I think that these two inefficient offenses could combine for a low-scoring battle in this one, so give me the under here.
