White Sox vs Marlins Prediction 3/31/26 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a White Sox vs Marlins Prediction for this MLB matchup on Tuesday, March 31^st. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Miami Marlins Preview

The Miami Marlins have a 3-1 record this season and are sitting in the first place of the NL East. They have a 3-1 home record and are coming off a 9-4 home defeat by the White Sox. Their previous three games were a 4-3,4-3 and a 2-1 home win over the Rockies.

The Marlins have a .270 batting average this season, .352 OBP and .429 Slugging percentage. Miami’s pitching staff has a 3.75 ERA and 0.97 WHIP. Xavier Edwards is the team’s best hitter with a .400 batting average. Liam Hicks leads the team in RBI with 6, also adding a team-high two home runs.

Janson Junk (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Marlins, and last season he had a 6-4 record, 4.17 ERA and 1.14 WHIP.

Chicago White Sox Preview

The Chicago White Sox have a 1-3 record this season and are sitting in the fourth place of the AL Central. They have a 1-3 road record and are coming off a 9-4 road win over the Marlins. Their previous three games were a 7-9, 1-6 and a 2-14 road loss to the Brewers.

The White Sox have a .221 batting average this season, .309 OBP and .435 Slugging percentage. Chicago’s pitching staff has a 8.45 ERA and 2.09 WHIP. Miguel Vargas is the team’s best hitter with a .308 batting average, also leading the team in RBI with 6. Munetaka Murakami adds a team-high three home runs.

Erick Fedde (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the White Sox, and last season he had a 4-13 record, 5.49 ERA and 1.52 WHIP.

The Chicago White Sox @ Miami Marlins Betting Trends: March 31, 2026

 

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Janson Junk      Record this season: –      ERA: –
• Home Record: –
• Last 5 against White Sox: 0-0

Why the Miami Marlins will win

• The White Sox have lost each of their last 11 night games against NL East opponents following a win.
• The Marlins have won seven of their last eight games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Marlins have covered the run line in eight of their last nine home games against American League opponents following a home loss.
• The White Sox have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games against the Marlins following a win.
• The Marlins have led after 5 innings in four of their last five home night games.
• The White Sox have trailed after 3 innings in six of their last eight night games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.

 

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Erick Fedde      Record this season: –      ERA: –
• Road Record: –
• Last 5 against Marlins: 1-2

Why the Chicago White Sox will win

• The underdogs have won eight of the last nine games between the White Sox and Marlins.
• The Marlins have lost four of their last five games as favorites against AL Central opponents.
• The White Sox have covered the run line in each of their last eight games against NL East opponents.
• The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 12 Tuesday games as favorites.
• The White Sox have led after 3 innings in each of their last five night games against the Marlins.
• The White Sox have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight road games against NL East opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the Marlins’ last eight games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Five of the White Sox’s last six night games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Marlins’ last eight games as home favorites against AL Central opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in four of the White Sox’s last five games.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

• Jakob Marsee has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins’ last seven night games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Kyle Stowers has hit at least one home run in each of his last four appearances in night games against AL Central teams that held a losing record.
• Liam Hicks ranks T7th in the league in Home Runs (2) this season.

Chicago White Sox Player Prop Facts

• Austin Hays has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances with his team as an underdog against the Marlins.
• Austin Hays has recorded at least one hit in eight of his last nine appearances with his team as a road underdog against NL East opponents.
• Munetaka Murakami ranks T2nd in the league in Home Runs (3) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Marlins rank 1st in the league for walks allowed this season (7).
• The Marlins rank T3rd in the league for triples this season (1).
• The White Sox rank 30th in the league for ERA this season (8.45).
• The White Sox rank 30th in the league for runs allowed this season (33).

The Chicago White Sox @ Miami Marlins Betting Trends: March 31, 2026

 

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Janson Junk      Record this season: –      ERA: –
• Home Record: –
• Last 5 against White Sox: 0-0

Why the Miami Marlins will win

• The White Sox have lost each of their last 11 night games against NL East opponents following a win.
• The Marlins have won seven of their last eight games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Marlins have covered the run line in eight of their last nine home games against American League opponents following a home loss.
• The White Sox have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games against the Marlins following a win.
• The Marlins have led after 5 innings in four of their last five home night games.
• The White Sox have trailed after 3 innings in six of their last eight night games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.

 

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Erick Fedde      Record this season: –      ERA: –
• Road Record: –
• Last 5 against Marlins: 1-2

Why the Chicago White Sox will win

• The underdogs have won eight of the last nine games between the White Sox and Marlins.
• The Marlins have lost four of their last five games as favorites against AL Central opponents.
• The White Sox have covered the run line in each of their last eight games against NL East opponents.
• The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 12 Tuesday games as favorites.
• The White Sox have led after 3 innings in each of their last five night games against the Marlins.
• The White Sox have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight road games against NL East opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the Marlins’ last eight games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Five of the White Sox’s last six night games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Marlins’ last eight games as home favorites against AL Central opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in four of the White Sox’s last five games.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

• Jakob Marsee has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins’ last seven night games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Kyle Stowers has hit at least one home run in each of his last four appearances in night games against AL Central teams that held a losing record.
• Liam Hicks ranks T7th in the league in Home Runs (2) this season.

Chicago White Sox Player Prop Facts

• Austin Hays has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances with his team as an underdog against the Marlins.
• Austin Hays has recorded at least one hit in eight of his last nine appearances with his team as a road underdog against NL East opponents.
• Munetaka Murakami ranks T2nd in the league in Home Runs (3) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Marlins rank 1st in the league for walks allowed this season (7).
• The Marlins rank T3rd in the league for triples this season (1).
• The White Sox rank 30th in the league for ERA this season (8.45).
• The White Sox rank 30th in the league for runs allowed this season (33).

White Sox vs Marlins Prediction

Both teams are tied 5-5 in their last 10 meetings, but the White Sox are 3-1 in their last 4 meetings.

In this White Sox vs Marlins Prediction, the Marlins are coming as -150 home favorites. The White Sox got their first win of the season with a dominant 9-4 win against the Marlins yesterday, but I don’t trust them to do so again today with Erick Fedde on the mound. Fedde was torched in his only start against the Marlins last season with 4 earned runs in 5 innings pitched, but Junk struggled at home last season for the Marlins, with a 5.22 ERA in 8 home starts. The opening game of this series had 13 total runs and both teams average 12.2 earned runs per game this season combined. Take the over 8.5 runs in this one.