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White Sox vs Mets Prediction 8/23/26 MLB Picks Today

NY Mets (59-71) vs. Chicago White Sox (67-62)
August 23, 2026 2:10 pm EDT
The Line: Chicago White Sox -106 / NY Mets -114; Over/Under: 8
(Get latest betting odds)

The New York Mets and Chicago White Sox meet Sunday in MLB action at Rate Field. Here’s a White Sox vs Mets Prediction. This article will include a White Sox vs Mets Pick.

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 59-71 on the year and play the Astros and Brewers next. The New York Mets are batting .236 on the season, have a .307 OBP, and have a .392 slugging percentage. The New York Mets’ pitching staff has a 4.08 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP. Bo Bichette leads the New York Mets with 137 hits and 66 RBI, while Carson Benge and Marcus Semien have combined for 213 hits and 96 RBI.

Nolan McLean gets the ball for the New York Mets, and he is 9-8 with a 3.34 ERA and 162 strikeouts this season. This will be McLean’s first career game against the Chicago White Sox.

Chicago White Sox Betting Preview

The Chicago White Sox are 67-62 on the year and play the Rangers and Twins next. The Chicago White Sox are batting .238 on the season, have a .318 OBP, and have a .410 slugging percentage. The Chicago White Sox pitching staff has a 4.11 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP. Chase Meidroth leads the Chicago White Sox with 125 hits and 49 RBI, while Sam Antonacci and Miguel Vargas have combined for 215 hits and 111 RBI.

Sean Newcomb gets the ball for the Chicago White Sox, and he is 1-3 with a 2.44 ERA and 64 strikeouts this season. Newcomb is 3-3 with a 3.98 ERA and 56 strikeouts in his career against the New York Mets.

Why the Chicago White Sox will win

  • The Mets have lost each of their last six games as favorites following a road win.
  • The White Sox have won each of their last five games as home underdogs against NL East opponents following a loss.
  • The White Sox have covered the run line in each of their last nine games as home underdogs against National League opponents following a loss.
  • The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games following a win.
  • The Mets have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four day games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
  • The White Sox have led after 5 innings in three of their last four day games against the Mets.
  • The Mets have lost the first inning in four of their last five day games against AL Central opponents.

Why the New York Mets will win

  • The favorites have won each of the Mets’ last eight games at Rate Field.
  • The White Sox have lost each of their last five day games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
  • The favorites have covered the run line in each of the Mets’ last eight games at Rate Field.
  • The White Sox have failed to cover the run line each of their last five day games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Mets have won the first inning in three of their last four games as favorites.
  • The Mets have led after 3 innings in each of their last six games against American League opponents.
  • The Mets have led after 5 innings in each of their last six games at Rate Field.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Mets’ last six road games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Each of the last four games between the Mets and White Sox have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Mets’ last six games as favorites against AL Central opponents.
  • There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the White Sox’s last eight Sunday games at Rate Field.

Chicago White Sox Player Prop Facts

  • Miguel Vargas has hit a home run in three of his last five appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Miguel Vargas has recorded at least one hit in each of the White Sox’s last seven games against the Mets.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

  • Nolan McLean has recorded seven or more strikeouts in eight of his nine previous appearances against AL opponents.
  • Carson Benge has recorded two or more hits in each of the Mets’ last eight games as favorites against AL Central opponents.
  • Nolan McLean has recorded a win in each of his last four appearances with the Mets as road favorites.
  • Luis Torrens has hit a home run in each of his last four road appearances against AL opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The White Sox rank 3rd in the league for home runs this season (173).
  • The White Sox rank 6th in the league for runs scored this season (616).
  • The Mets rank 29th in the league for doubles this season (163).
  • The Mets rank 27th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.307).

White Sox vs Mets Prediction

I’m not sure if it’s more shocking that the Mets keep getting these prices so cheap, or that the White Sox keep getting this disrespect in the market. The Mets have been one of the biggest underachievers in baseball, while the White Sox are the most profitable teams for MLB bettors. This is an easy play, and I’m rolling with the White Sox, the team that continues to turn a profit.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Chicago White Sox -106

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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