MLB Picks

Yankees vs Angels Prediction 4/16/26 MLB Picks Today

LA Angels (9-10) vs. NY Yankees (10-8)
April 16, 2026 1:35 pm EDT
The Line: NY Yankees -252/ LA Angels 203; Over/Under: 9.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate a Yankees vs Angels prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, April 16th at Yankee Stadium in Bronx, New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

New York Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees are 10-8 this year after they won two of the first three games in this series by scores of 11-10, 1-7, and 5-4. In game three, New York jumped out to a 3-0 lead in the second, but they needed two runs in the ninth to walk-off with the win. The Yankees recorded six hits in the game and they were led by Caballero and Grisham, who both had two RBIs. Gil allowed five hits and four earned runs over 5.0 innings, while Bednar picked up the win in relief. Prior to this series, New York lost all three against the Rays and two out of three against the Athletics. 

This season, New York has a 3.27 ERA with a 1.18 WHIP and a .235 opponent batting average, while they have scored 82 runs with a .212 batting average and a .313 on base percentage. Aaron Judge has led the Yankees with seven home runs and 13 RBIs, while Ben Rice has added four home runs and 13 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Max Fried, who is 2-0 with a 1.93 ERA and a 0.75 WHIP over 28.0 innings pitched this year. 

Los Angeles Angels Betting Preview

The Los Angeles Angels are 9-10 this season after they lost game three by a score of 5-4 on Wednesday night. Los Angeles erased a 2-0 deficit in the middle innings and they led 4-3 in the ninth, but they blew the save for the loss. The Angels recorded seven hits in the game and they were led by Trout, who went 2-4 with one home run and two RBIs. Kochanowicz allowed four hits and three earned runs over 6.2 innings, while Romano allowed two earned runs and blew the save. Prior to this series, Los Angeles won two out of three against the Reds, but lost two out of three against the Braves before that.

This season, Los Angeles has a 4.30 ERA with a 1.43 WHIP and a .223 opponent batting average, while they have scored 94 runs with a .223 batting average and a .330 on base percentage. Jorge Soler has led the Angels with five home runs and 18 RBIs, while Mike Trout has added six home runs and 15 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Los Angeles is TBD. 

Why the New York Yankees will win

  • The Angels have lost each of their last eight day games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • The home team has won five of the Yankees’ last six games.
  • The Angels have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six day games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Yankees have covered the run line in each of their last four day games against the Angels at Yankee Stadium following a win.
  • The Yankees have won the first inning in five of their last six day games at Yankee Stadium.
  • The Yankees have led after 5 innings in each of their last seven day games against the Angels at Yankee Stadium.
  • The Yankees have led after 3 innings in seven of their last eight home day games.

Why the Los Angeles Angels will win

  • The Yankees have lost each of their last six games as favorites against AL West opponents following a win.
  • The Angels have won each of their last three games as road underdogs following a loss.
  • The Angels have covered the run line in each of their last nine games as underdogs against AL East opponents.
  • The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine games after playing the previous day.
  • The Angels have led after 5 innings in four of their last five games against American League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Angels’ last six day games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Nine of the last 10 games between the Angels and Yankees have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Angels’ last 10 day games against AL East opponents.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in nine of the last 10 day games between the Angels and Yankees at Yankee Stadium.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

  • Max Fried has recorded seven or more strikeouts in four of his last five home appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Aaron Judge has hit at least one home run in three of the Yankees’ last four games.
  • Amed Rosario has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances with his team as a favorite against the Angels.
  • Max Fried has recorded a win in each of his last four appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.

Los Angeles Angels Player Prop Facts

  • Mike Trout has hit at least one home run in each of the Angels’ last five games as underdogs against AL East opponents.
  • Mike Trout has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances against the Yankees.

Yankees vs Angels Prediction 

New York was able to steal the win in game three on Wednesday and they are going for the series win, but they are pretty fortunate to be in this position. The Yankees are 5-4 at home this year, while the Angels are 6-7 on the road. Los Angeles has alternated wins and losses over their last five games and they have allowed 5+ in four of their last five. I don’t like how this LA bullpen has looked, while Fried has been very good. Take the Yankees -1.5 here. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Yankees -1.5

Need More? Get Premium Picks

David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

Related Articles

Back to top button