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Yankees vs Astros Prediction 8/25/26 MLB Picks Today

Houston Astros (65-66) vs. NY Yankees (74-56)
August 25, 2026 7:05 pm EDT
The Line: NY Yankees -140 / Houston Astros 131; Over/Under: 8.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate a Yankees vs Astros prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, August 25th at Yankee Stadium in Bronx, New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

New York Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees are 74-56 this season after they won two out of three against the Blue Jays by scores of 3-1, 3-4, and 8-3. In game three, New York blew an early 2-0 lead, but they scored the next five runs to pull away with the win. The Yankees recorded 11 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Rice, who went 2-5 with two RBIs. Rodon allowed two hits and one earned run over 4.0 innings, while Blackburn got the win in relief. Prior to that series, New York swept the Orioles in three games, but lost two out of three against the Blue Jays before that. 


This season, New York has a 3.20 ERA with a 1.17 WHIP and a .224 opponent batting average, while they have scored 579 runs with a .230 batting average and a .309 on base percentage. Ben Rice has led the Yankees with 34 home runs and 82 RBIs, while Cody Bellinger has added 11 home runs and 53 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Will Warren, who is 8-6 with a 4.43 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP over 122.0 innings pitched this season. 

Houston Astros Betting Preview

The Houston Astros are 65-66 this year after they lost two out of three against the Athletics by scores of 4-0, 3-4, and 6-7. In game three, Houston led 6-0 in the fourth inning, but they allowed the last seven runs for the loss. The Astros recorded eight hits in the game and they were led by Altuve, who went 1-4 with one home run and three RBIs. Javier allowed four hits and three earned runs over 4.0 innings, while Okert picked up the loss. Prior to that series, Houston lost two out of three against the Angels and two out of three against the Mariners. 

This season, Houston has a 4.63 ERA with a 1.36 WHIP and a .240 opponent batting average, while they have scored 596 runs with a .242 batting average and a .317 on base percentage. Yordan Alvarez has led the Astros with 36 home runs and 90 RBIs, while Christian Walker has added 23 home runs and 72 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Houston is Ethan Pecko, who is 0-0 with a 4.91 ERA and a 1.64 WHIP over 3.2 innings pitched this year. 

Why the New York Yankees will win

  • The Yankees have won seven of their last eight night games against AL opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Astros have lost eight of their last nine night games against the Yankees following a home loss.
  • The Yankees have covered the run line in each of their last seven games.
  • The Astros have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games.
  • The Astros have lost the first inning in three of their last four road games against AL opponents.
  • The Yankees have led after 3 innings in each of their last four games as favorites.
  • The Astros have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five road games.

Why the Houston Astros will win

  • The Astros have won seven of their last eight games as road underdogs following a loss.
  • The Yankees have lost four of their last five games as favorites following a home win.
  • The Astros have covered the run line in each of their last eight games as road underdogs against AL opponents following a loss.
  • The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in 13 of their last 16 games as favorites following a home win.
  • The Astros have won the first inning in each of their last three games as underdogs against the Yankees at Yankee Stadium.
  • The Astros have led after 3 innings in each of their last three night games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Astros have led after 5 innings in each of their last seven Tuesday games against opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

  • Seven of the Yankees’ last eight games as favorites have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Each of the Astros’ last five games as underdogs against the Yankees have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Astros’ last seven games at Yankee Stadium.
  • There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the last seven night games between the Astros and Yankees at Yankee Stadium.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

  • Spencer Jones has hit a home run in each of the Yankees’ last two night games.
  • Will Warren has recorded five or more strikeouts in 14 of his last 16 home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Trent Grisham has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 Tuesday appearances.
  • Jazz Chisholm ranks 4th in the league in Steals (34) this season.

Houston Astros Player Prop Facts

  • Cam Smith has hit at least one home run in four of his last five road appearances after not playing the previous day.
  • Yordan Alvarez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances in night games against AL East teams that held a winning record.
  • Yordan Alvarez ranks 1st amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.613) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Yankees rank 30th in the league for hits this season (985).
  • The Yankees rank 1st in the league for ERA this season (3.20).
  • The Astros rank 29th in the league for steals this season (40).
  • The Astros rank 29th in the league for walks allowed this season (540).

Yankees vs Astros Prediction 

New York comes into this matchup after winning four of their last five games and they have allowed three runs or fewer in four of those five. The Yankees are 33-28 at home this year, while the Astros are 32-31 on the road. Houston has lost three of their last four games and they are coming off of a horrible loss on Sunday. The Astros are starting Pecko, who allowed three hits and two earned runs over 3.2 innings in his first outing, while Warren has allowed 2, 5, 3, 0, and 6 earned runs in his last five starts. I am going to back the Yankees, as the Astros are not playing well right now. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Yankees ML

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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