Yankees vs Astros Prediction 8/9/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Yankees vs Astros prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, August 9th at Yankee Stadium in New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

New York Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees are 61-55 this year after they lost game one by a score of 5-3 on Friday night. New York tied the game at two in the sixth inning, but they only managed one run in the bottom of the 10th for the loss. The Yankees recorded five hits in the game and they were led by Rice, Judge, and Volpe, who all had one RBI in the loss. New York started Schlittler, who allowed seven hits and two earned runs over 5.0 innings, while Williams picked up the loss in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Yankees lost two out of three against the Rangers and all three against the Marlins. New York has lost six of their last seven games and they are currently third in the AL East standings. The New York pitching staff has a 4.04 ERA with a 1.26 WHIP and a .231 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 590 runs with a .249 batting average and a .328 on base percentage this season. Cody Bellinger has led New York with 20 home runs and 66 RBIs, while Jazz Chisholm has added 19 home runs and 51 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Luis Gil, who is 0-1 with a 13.50 ERA and a 2.70 WHIP over 3.1 innings pitched this year. 

Houston Astros Betting Preview

The Houston Astros are 65-51 this season after they won game one on Friday in extra innings. Houston blew a 2-0 lead in the sixth inning, but they scored three runs in the 10th to get the victory. The Astros recorded 10 hits in the game and they were led by Altuve and Trammell, who both had two RBIs in the win. Houston started Brown, who allowed four hits and two earned runs over 5.1 innings, while Hader picked up the win. 

Prior to this series, the Astros won two out of three against the Marlins, but lost all three against the Red Sox before that. Houston has won three of their last four games and they are currently first in the AL West standings. The Houston pitching staff has a 3.70 ERA with a 1.19 WHIP and a .230 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 502 runs with a .258 batting average and a .322 on base percentage this season. Jose Altuve has led Houston with 20 home runs and 61 RBIs, while Yanier Diaz has added 16 home runs and 50 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Houston is Framber Valdez, who is 11-5 with a 2.83 ERA and a 1.12 WHIP over 140.0 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Astros will beat the Yankees

• The Astros have won seven of their last eight day games against AL East opponents following a win.
• The Yankees have lost each of their last six Saturday games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games.
• The Astros have covered the run line in seven of their last eight day games against AL East opponents following a win.
• The Yankees have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six Saturday games against opponents that held a winning record.
• The Yankees have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six games.
• The Astros have won the first inning in four of their last five day games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Yankees’ last eight games following an extra innings loss have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Six of the Astros’ last seven games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Astros’ last nine games at Yankee Stadium.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Yankees’ last eight day games against AL West opponents.

Yankees vs Astros Prediction 

Houston was able to get the dramatic win in extra innings on Friday, as New York continues to have major issues recently. The Astros are 30-27 on the road this year, while the Yankees are 34-23 at home. New York is fading in the AL East and they are starting Gil, who did not pitch well in his first outing off of the IL. Houston is going with Valdez, who was rocked in his last start, but he has been elite all year. We lost with Houston in Framber’s last start against Boston, but we can’t pass up this number with him on the mound. Take the Astros to win.