Yankees vs Blue Jays Prediction 5/18/26 MLB Picks Today

The Toronto Blue Jays and New York Yankees meet Monday in MLB action at Yankee Stadium. Here’s a Yankees vs Blue Jays Prediction. This article will include a Yankees vs Blue Jays Pick.

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays are 21-25 on the year and play the Marlins and Pirates next. The Toronto Blue Jays are batting .242 on the season and have a .305 OBP, and a .371 slugging percentage. The Toronto Blue Jays’ pitching staff has a 4.02 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP. Ernie Clement leads the Toronto Blue Jays with 50 hits and 12 RBI while Daulton Varsho and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. have combined for 88 hits and 35 RBI.

Patrick Corbin gets the ball for the Toronto Blue Jays, and he is 1-1 with a 3.93 ERA and 22 strikeouts this season. Corbin is 2-1 with a 3.20 ERA and 36 strikeouts in his career against the New York Yankees.

New York Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees are 28-19 on the year and play the Royals and Rays next. The New York Yankees are batting .235 on the season and have a .331 OBP, and a .428 slugging percentage. The New York Yankees’ pitching staff has a 3.24 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP. Aaron Judge leads the New York Yankees with 45 hits and 30 RBI while Ben Rice and Cody Bellinger have combined for 88 hits and 61 RBI.

Ryan Weathers gets the ball for the New York Yankees, and he is 2-2 with a 3.00 ERA and 54 strikeouts this season. This will be Weathers’ second career game against the Toronto Blue Jays.

Why the New York Yankees will win

• The Yankees have won each of their last 10 home games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Blue Jays have lost seven of their last eight night games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Yankees have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 home games.
• The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five road games against the Yankees following a win.
• The Yankees have led after 3 innings in each of their last eight home games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Yankees have won the first inning in seven of their last eight home games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Yankees have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight night games at Yankee Stadium against AL East opponents.

Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win

• The Yankees have lost five of their last six games as favorites after playing the previous day.
• The Blue Jays have won nine of their last 11 games as underdogs against AL East opponents following a win.
• The Blue Jays have covered the run line in each of their last four games after playing the previous day.
• The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games as favorites after going to extra innings.
• The Blue Jays have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games against the Yankees.
• The Blue Jays have won the first inning in each of their last three night games against the Yankees.
• The Blue Jays have led after 5 innings in six of their last eight night games against the Yankees.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the Yankees’ last eight home games following an extra innings loss have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Blue Jays’ last four road games has gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Yankees’ last nine night games at Yankee Stadium.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Blue Jays’ last eight night games at Yankee Stadium.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

• Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 home appearances.
• Giancarlo Stanton has hit at least one home run in three of his last four home appearances against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
• Ben Rice ranks 1st amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.671) this season.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has hit a home run in three of the Blue Jays’ last four games against the Yankees.
• Patrick Corbin has recorded five or more strikeouts in eight of his last nine Monday appearances.
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded at least one hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last 10 games against the Yankees.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Yankees rank 1st in the league for home runs this season (68).
• The Yankees rank 2nd in the league for walks this season (216).
• The Blue Jays rank 1st in the league for strikeouts against this season (311).
• The Blue Jays rank 29th in the league for steals this season (16).

Yankees vs Blue Jays Prediction

The Blue Jays still have to prove themselves on the road, where they’re just 8-14 on the season. The Yankees will be eager to rebound after a disappointing series against the Mets. Weathers has been solid through 45 innings with a 3.00 ERA and 1.11 WHIP while striking out 54. Weathers has allowed a combined 5 earned runs in his last 4 starts. Corbin has been decent up to this point this season, but he’s also a historically bad pitcher overall these last several seasons and is a pitcher I’ve blindly faded. Give me the Yankees and the RL for max betting value.