
Yankees vs Cubs Prediction 7-12-25 Picks
Chicago Cubs (55-39) vs. NY Yankees (53-41)
July 12, 2025 5:05 pm EDT
The Line: NY Yankees -164 / Chicago Cubs 134; Over/Under: 8
(Get latest betting odds)
The Chicago Cubs and New York Yankees meet Saturday in MLB action at Yankee Stadium. Here’s a Yankees vs Cubs Prediction. This article will include a Yankees vs Cubs Pick.
Chicago Cubs Betting Preview
The Chicago Cubs are 55-39 on the year and play the Red Sox, Royals, and White Sox next. The Chicago Cubs are batting .256 on the season, have a .325 OBP, and a .446 slugging percentage. The Chicago Cubs pitching staff has a 3.89 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP. Kyle Tucker leads the Chicago Cubs with 99 hits and 55 RBI, while Nico Hoerner and Pete Crow-Armstrong have combined for 196 hits and 109 RBI.
Matthew Boyd gets the ball for the Chicago Cubs, and he is 9-3 with a 2.52 ERA and 96 strikeouts this season. Boyd is 1-3 with a 5.17 ERA and 29 strikeouts in his career against the New York Yankees.
New York Yankees Betting Preview
The New York Yankees are 53-41 on the year and play the Braves, Blue Jays, and Phillies next. The New York Yankees are batting .258 on the season, have a .339 OBP, and a .459 slugging percentage. The New York Yankees’ pitching staff has a 3.82 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP. Aaron Judge leads the New York Yankees with 122 hits and 79 RBI, while Paul Goldschmidt and Cody Bellinger have combined for 191 hits and 90 RBI.
Max Fried gets the ball for the New York Yankees, and he is 11-2 with a 2.27 ERA and 111 strikeouts this season. Fried is 6-0 with a 1.18 ERA and 38 strikeouts in his career against the Chicago Cubs.
Why the New York Yankees will win
- The home team has won 11 of the Yankees’ last 12 games.
- The Cubs have lost eight of their last 10 road games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Yankees have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games at Yankee Stadium.
- The Cubs have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as underdogs against American League opponents.
- The Yankees have won the first inning in four of their last five home games against NL Central opponents.
- The Yankees have led after 3 innings in each of their last five home games against NL Central opponents.
- The Cubs have trailed after 5 innings in 10 of their last 11 games as underdogs.
Why the Chicago Cubs will win
- The Cubs have won each of their last 11 day games following a road loss.
- The Yankees have lost three of their last four games as favorites against National League opponents following a home win.
- The Cubs have covered the run line in each of their last six games as road underdogs against AL East opponents following a loss.
- The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 day games following a win.
- The Cubs have led after 3 innings in three of their last four road games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The Cubs have led after 5 innings in each of their last six Saturday games as road underdogs.
New York Yankees Player Prop Facts
- Cody Bellinger has hit at least one home run in four of the Yankees’ last five home games against NL opponents.
- Paul Goldschmidt has recorded at least one Double in five of his last six appearances with the Yankees as favorites.
- Max Fried has recorded six or more strikeouts in eight of his last nine appearances against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 18 appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Max Fried has recorded a win in each of his six previous appearances against the Cubs.
- Aaron Judge ranks 1st in the league in Hits (122) this season.
Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts
- Carson Kelly has hit a home run in each of the Cubs’ last two day games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Carson Kelly has recorded a Double in three of the Cubs’ last four day games.
- Matthew Boyd has recorded six or more strikeouts in 10 of his last 12 road appearances against AL East opponents.
- Nico Hoerner has recorded at least one hit in each of the Cubs’ last 10 road games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Matthew Boyd has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances.
- Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks 3rd in the league in Steals (27) this season.
Yankees vs Cubs Prediction
Boyd has been strong this season with a 2.52 ERA and 1.07 WHIP, but Fried has been even better with a 2.27 ERA and 0.96 WHIP. In 49.1 home innings, Fried has a 1.82 ERA and .185 allowed batting average. Fried has also owned the Cubs going back to his Braves days, and he’s produced 22 strikeouts in 88 at-bats against current Cubs hitters. This should be a fun game between two great pitchers, but I’m siding with the Yankees at home. Fried is a top-five pitcher in the American League, and I can’t step in front of that.