Yankees vs Mariners Prediction 5/12/25 MLB Picks Today

The New York Yankees are visiting the Seattle Mariners on Monday, May 12^th at the T-Mobile Park in the opening game of this series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Yankees vs Mariners Prediction. We will examine:

The Seattle Mariners recent form and player performance

The New York Yankees recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Seattle Mariners

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the New York Yankees

Recent betting trends in games played between the New York Yankees vs Seattle Mariners

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for New York Yankees vs Seattle Mariners game

Seattle Mariners Preview

The Seattle Mariners have a 22-17 record this season and are sitting on the first place of the AL West. The Mariners have a 12-9 home record and 24-13 in over/under They are coming off a 1-9 home defeat by the Toronto Blue Jays, marking their third straight loss. Over is 8-2 in their last 10 games and they are playing the Padres and the White Sox next.

The Mariners have a .243 batting average this season, .333 OBP and .406 Slugging percentage. Seattle’s pitching staff has a 4.00 ERA and 1.34 WHIP. JP Crawford leads the Mariners with 37 hits and is the team’s best hitter with a .282 batting average. Jorge Polanco leads the team in RBI with 28, with Cal Raleigh has a team-high 12 home runs.

Emerson Hancock (R) will take the mound for the Mariners, and he has a 1-1 record, 5.70 ERA and 1.56 WHIP. He has been torched in his two home starts this season, having given up 9 runs in just 6.2 innings of work, for an abysmal 12.15 ERA. He has given up at least two runs in all of his five starts this season, and this will be his first start against the Yankees in his career.

New York Yankees Preview

The New York Yankees have a 23-17 record this season and are sitting on the first place of the AL East. The Yankees have a 10-9 road record and are 19-19 in over/under. They are coming off a 12-2 road victory against the Athletics, and are 4-1 in their last 5 games. Over is 4-1 in their last 5 games and are playing the Mets and the Rangers next.

The Yankees have a .263 batting average this season, .348 OBP and .481 Slugging percentage. New York’s pitching staff has a 3.71 ERA and 1.20 WHIP. Aaron Judge leads the Yankees with 63 hits, 39 RBI and 14 home runs, while also being the team’s best hitter, with a .409 batting average.

Clarke Schmidt (R) will take the mound for the Yankees, and he has a 0-1 record, 4.79 ERA and 1.40 WHIP. He has been torched in his only road start, having given up 5 runs across 4 innings of work, in a 4-6 loss to the Guardians. Schmidt has given up 2+ runs in three of his four starts this season, and he was decent against the Mariners last season, with 3 earned runs across 10 innings of work in two starts, but the Yankees lost both games.

Why the Seattle Mariners will win

• The Yankees have lost seven of their last eight games following a road win.
• The Mariners have won each of their last five home games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games following a road win.
• The Mariners have covered the run line in four of their last five games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Mariners have led after 3 innings in six of their last seven home night games.
• The Mariners have led after 5 innings in four of their last five home games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Mariners have won the first inning in three of their last four games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.

Why the New York Yankees will win

• The Mariners have lost seven of their last eight night games against AL East opponents.
• The road team has won each of the Mariners’ last five games.
• The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games.
• The Yankees have covered the run line in each of their last four night games against American League opponents.
• The Yankees have led after 5 innings in each of their last four night games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
• The Mariners have trailed after 3 innings in seven of their last eight night games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Mariners’ last eight home games have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Yankees’ last five games against AL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Yankees’ last seven games.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 13 of the Mariners’ last 16 home games against AL East opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Mariners rank 3rd in the league for walks this season (161).
• The Mariners are one of only three teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and home runs this season.
• The Yankees rank 1st in the league for runs scored this season (235).
• The Yankees rank 1st in the league for home runs this season (70).

Yankees vs Mariners Prediction

In their 7 meetings last season, the Yankees led the Mariners 4-3 wins, winning their only series in Seattle by 2-1 wins. The Yankees are 4-1 in their last 5 meetings against the Mariners, and under is 3-1 in their last 4 meetings.

In this Yankees vs Mariners Prediction, the Yankees are coming as -135 road favorites. Both teams have almost identical records this season, and similar home/away records as well. There is no clear advantage in the bullpen as well, as both teams have 3.54 and 3.63 bullpen ERA’s, and with both pitchers being shaky at best, I see no value on either side. Both pitchers have a combined 10.49 combined ERA, and are averaging 11.3 runs per game combined against the opposing starter throw hand. Both teams are also 12-3 to the over combined in their recent games, so I expect another high-scoring affair today. Take the over 8.5 runs in this one.