Yankees vs Mariners Prediction 5/14/25 MLB Picks Today

The New York Yankees are visiting the Seattle Mariners on Wednesday, May 14^th at the T-Mobile Park in the third game of this series, with both teams being tied 1-1 wins. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Yankees vs Mariners Prediction. We will examine:

The Seattle Mariners recent form and player performance

The New York Yankees recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Seattle Mariners

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the New York Yankees

Recent betting trends in games played between the New York Yankees vs Seattle Mariners

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for New York Yankees vs Seattle Mariners game

Seattle Mariners Preview

The Seattle Mariners have a 23-18 record this season and are sitting on the first place of the AL West. The Mariners have a 13-10 home record and 25-14 in over/under They are coming off a 2-1 home victory against the Yankees, ending their previous four-game losing streak. Over is 9-3 in their last 12 games and they are playing the Padres and the White Sox next.

The Mariners have a .240 batting average this season, .328 OBP and .403 Slugging percentage. Seattle’s pitching staff has a 4.05 ERA and 1.34 WHIP. JP Crawford leads the Mariners with 38 hits and is the team’s best hitter with a .271 batting average. Jorge Polanco leads the team in RBI with 29, while Cal Raleigh adds a team-high 13 home runs.

Luis Castillo (R) will take the mound for the Mariners, and he has a 3-3 record, 3.95 ERA and 1.38 WHIP. He has been better at home, with a 2.89 ERA, but he is coming off a terrible start, where he gave up 5 runs in 5 innings of work, in a 3-6 loss to the Blue Jays. In his only start against the Yankees last season, he gave up 2 runs in 5 innings of work.

New York Yankees Preview

The New York Yankees have a 24-18 record this season and are sitting on the first place of the AL East. The Yankees have a 11-10 road record and are 20-20 in over/under. They are coming off a 1-2 road defeat by the Mariners, ending their previous two-game winning streak. Over is 4-1 in their last 5 games and are playing the Mets and the Rangers next.

The Yankees have a .263 batting average this season, .348 OBP and .480 Slugging percentage. New York’s pitching staff has a 3.66 ERA and 1.19 WHIP. Aaron Judge leads the Yankees with 66 hits, 40 RBI and 14 home runs, while also being the team’s best hitter, with a .410 batting average.

Will Warren (R) will take the mound for the Yankees, and he has a 2-2 record, 4.75 ERA and 1.36 WHIP. He has been weaker on the road, with a 5.06 ERA, but he is coming off a quality start against the Athletics, with one earned run in 7.1 innings of work, as the Yankees won 10-2. This will be his first start against the Mariners in his career.

Why the Seattle Mariners will win

• The Mariners have won each of their last eight day games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Yankees have lost each of their last three Wednesday day games as road favorites against AL West opponents.
• The Mariners have covered the run line in each of their last nine day games against American League opponents following a home win.
• The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in 11 of their last 12 Wednesday games as favorites.
• The Mariners have led after 5 innings in four of their last five home games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Mariners have won the first inning in three of their last four games as underdogs against AL East opponents.
• The Mariners have led after 3 innings in four of their last five home games against American League opponents that held a winning record.

Why the New York Yankees will win

• The Mariners have lost 14 of their last 15 home games against the Yankees following a win.
• The Yankees have won each of their last five day games against AL West opponents following a loss.
• The Yankees have covered the run line in each of their last six games following a road loss.
• The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games as underdogs following an extra innings win.
• The Yankees have led after 3 innings in four of their last five road day games.
• The Yankees have led after 5 innings in eight of their last 10 day games.

Total Runs Facts

• Nine of the Mariners’ last 10 home games have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Six of the Yankees’ last seven games against AL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Yankees’ last nine games.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the last seven day games between the Yankees and Mariners at T-Mobile Park.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Mariners rank T3rd in the league for walks this season (166).
• The Mariners are one of only three teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and home runs this season.
• The Yankees rank 1st in the league for runs scored this season (247).
• The Yankees rank 1st in the league for home runs this season (74).

Yankees vs Mariners Prediction

The Yankees are 5-2 in their last 7 meetings against the Mariners, and under is 3-1 in their last 4 meetings. In this Yankees vs Mariners Prediction, the Yankees are coming as -120 road favorites. Both teams have identical records this season, but the Yankees have been mediocre on the road, and Warren is not a pitcher I’m rushing to back.

Both pitchers have been shaky to start the season, as they have an 8.70 combined ERA, and their analytics show no sign of positive regression. The Yankees have score 7+ runs in four straight games prior to yesterday’s low-scoring one, and the Mariners have conceded 5+ runs in their last five games prior to yesterday. Both teams are 11-3 to the over in their last 14 games combined. This is the perfect spot for a high-scoring game, so take the over 8 runs.